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Microsoft (MSFT, $270.22) fiscal Q3 earnings beats Zacks Consensus
Microsoft posted its third-quarter fiscal 2022 earnings, which rose +9.4% from the year-ago quarter to $2.22 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.83%.
Revenues of $49.360 billion increased +18.4% year over year and exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.81%. On a non-GAAP basis and at constant currency (cc), revenues rose +21% year over year. Adverse forex movement hurt revenues by $302 million in the quarter.
Revenue from the Productivity & Business Processes segment, which includes the Office and Dynamics CRM businesses, increased 16.5% (up 19% at cc) on a year-over-year basis to $15.79 billion.
Office Commercial products and cloud services segment revenue rose 12% (up 14% at cc) on a year-over-year basis.
Office 365 commercial revenues climbed +17% year-over-year (up 20% at cc), on the back of Office 365 Commercial seat growth of 16%.
Enterprise service revenues rose 8% (up 7% at cc) driven by growth in Enterprise Support Services.
More Personal Computing segment, which primarily includes Windows, Gaming, Devices and Search businesses, were up 11.4% (same percentage at cc) year over year to $14.520 billion, on the back of strength in gaming and Windows OEM.
MSFT's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 5 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Current price $261.50 crossed the resistance line at $287.17 and is trading between $287.17 resistance and $244.49 support lines. Throughout the month of 04/13/22 - 05/16/22, the price experienced a -9% Downtrend. During the week of 05/09/22 - 05/16/22, the stock fell -1%.
Following a +2.41% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSFT advanced for three days, in 228 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
MSFT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 09, 2022. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MSFT as a result. In 33 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MSFT turned negative on May 09, 2022. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 17 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 33%.
MSFT moved below its 50-day Moving Average on April 08, 2022 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day Moving Average for MSFT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 18, 2022. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 38%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSFT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
The Aroon Indicator for MSFT entered a downward trend on May 16, 2022. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 70%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.13.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MSFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.990) is normal, around the industry mean (16.471). P/E Ratio (27.248) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.393). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.792) is also within normal values, averaging (4.591). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.246) is also within normal values, averaging (124.500).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 6.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 580 to 2T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2T. The lowest valued company is NANN at 580.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Microsoft (MSFT, $261.12) saw a $101.8B market cap decrease this week
- 5/6/22 5:04 AM: Microsoft (MSFT, $277.35) saw a $91.8B market cap decrease this week
- 5/3/22 8:18 AM: Microsoft (MSFT, $284.47), market cap jumped by $52.0B
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -0.92%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.67%. LAAB experienced the highest price growth at 126%, while SGNI experienced the biggest fall at -97.03%.
- 5/12/22 5:38 AM: Microsoft (MSFT, $260.55) was a top loser this week, declining -10.15%. Expect a Downtrend reversal
- 4/12/22 7:12 AM: Microsoft (MSFT, $285.26) was a top loser this week, declining -9.43%
- 3/19/22 4:49 AM: Microsoft (MSFT, $300.43) was a top weekly gainer, with a +7.27% jump
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 19.51%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 113.57% and the average quarterly volume growth was 41.15%
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Stocks in the group have a Negative Outlook today, backed by the MA50 Indicator. Tickeron has a negative outlook on this group and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 51%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.38.
6 stocks in the group of tickers confirmed the negative outlook based on the MA50MA10 indicator with average odds of 70%.
The average market capitalization across the group is 5B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.3M to 15.8B. AKAM holds the highest valuation in this group at 15.8B. The lowest valued company is KSPN at 9.3M.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was 4.79%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -18.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was -38.98%. IMMR experienced the highest price growth at 25.17%, while OMCL experienced the biggest fall at -2.49%.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Immersion (IMMR, $5.31) was a top weekly gainer, with a +16.96% jump
- 5/7/22 5:28 AM: Stem (STEM, $8.79) was a top weekly gainer, with a +22.59% jump
- 4/28/22 6:01 AM: Kaspien Holdings (KSPN, $5.57) is a top weekly loser for penny stocks, falling -20.45%
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was -56.2%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 3.32% and the average quarterly volume growth was -31.2%
- 4/15/22 4:33 AM: The volume for Allot stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 396% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 3/19/22 4:44 AM: The volume for Allot stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 609% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI), NetEase (NASDAQ:NTES), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Block (NYSE:SQ).
Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 6.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 580 to 2T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2T. The lowest valued company is NANN at 580.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -0.95%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.68%. GBUX experienced the highest price growth at 95.45%, while SGNI experienced the biggest fall at -97.03%.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Immersion (IMMR, $5.31) was a top weekly gainer, with a +16.96% jump
- 5/7/22 5:28 AM: Stem (STEM, $8.79) was a top weekly gainer, with a +22.59% jump
- 4/28/22 6:01 AM: Kaspien Holdings (KSPN, $5.57) is a top weekly loser for penny stocks, falling -20.45%
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -66.24%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -47.9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -50.72%
- 4/15/22 4:33 AM: The volume for Allot stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 396% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 3/19/22 4:44 AM: The volume for Allot stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 609% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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