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Mar 29, 2019
Modelez (MDLZ, $49.48) is reportedly in advanced talks for Campbell Soup's (CPB, $38.11) international brands

Modelez (MDLZ, $49.48) is reportedly in advanced talks for Campbell Soup's (CPB, $38.11) international brands

Confectionery giant Mondelez International, the maker of Oreo cookies and Cadbury chocolates, is reportedly in talks to acquire international brands sold by Campbell Soup Company.

Citing people familiar with the matter and who did not want to be named, a Bloomberg article indicates that Mondelez is negotiating the final terms of a potential deal to buy Arnott’s Biscuits, the Australian maker of Tim Tam cookies, and Danish butter-cookie producer Kelsen Group for a combined price tag of around $2.5 billion. Back in August, Campbell Soup had expressed plans to sell its international and fresh food businesses.

However, the anonymous people mentioned that the deal has not been finalized yet, and there are chances that it could fall apart and/or other buyers might step in. A KKR & Co.-led consortium and Ferrero SpA were earlier among other interested buyers, according to the people (as reported by Bloomberg).

No official statement has come out yet from any of the parties related to the matter.

Related Ticker: MDLZ

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


MDLZ's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for MDLZ entered a downward trend on September 30, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 221 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 130 of the 221 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 59%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MDLZ as a result. In 53 of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

MDLZ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MDLZ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MDLZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MDLZ's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 27 of 55 cases where MDLZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.

Following a +2.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MDLZ advanced for three days, in 168 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

MDLZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.884) is normal, around the industry mean (3.067). P/E Ratio (22.043) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.001). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.891) is also within normal values, averaging (1.364). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.028) is also within normal values, averaging (1.937).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MDLZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MDLZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ).

Industry description

A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry is 22.55B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 89 to 76.81B. MDLZ holds the highest valuation in this group at 76.81B. The lowest valued company is HBIS at 89.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31%. RMCF experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while TR experienced the biggest fall at -2%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -10% and the average quarterly volume growth was -39%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 72
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of packaged food products

Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy

Industry
Food Major Diversified
Address
905 West Fulton Market
Phone
+1 847 943-4000
Employees
91000
Web
https://www.mondelezinternational.com
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