Moderna (MRNA, $73.08) gets buy rating as Jefferies analyst initiates coverage
Jefferies analyst Michael Yee initiated coverage of Moderna shares with a buy rating . Yee gave the biopharmaceutical company a share-price target of $90.
Last week, Moderna said it completed enrolling patients for a Phase II study of the vaccine candidate, mRNA-1273. Yee predicts that mRNA-1273 will have at least an emergency-use authorization by early next year.
Moderna said that it’s on track to deliver 500 million doses per year, and possibly up to 1 billion doses per year, starting 2021.
According to Tickeron, MRNA enters an Uptrend because Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 09, 2020
This indicator signals that MRNA's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 20 of 21 cases where MRNA's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
Current price $72.74 is above $69.00 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 06/09/20 - 07/10/20, the price experienced a +8% Uptrend. During the week of 07/02/20 - 07/10/20, the stock enjoyed a +7% Uptrend growth.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 9 of 9 similar backtested cases where MRNA's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
The lower Bollinger Band was broken -- a price increase is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which indicates a buy or call consideration for traders. In 7 of 8 cases where MRNA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 88%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 67 of 81 similar cases where MRNA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 20 of 21 cases where MRNA's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossed below the signal line. In 8 of 12 cases where MRNA's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 67%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 79%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.43 to 1.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MRNA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.12) is normal, around the industry mean (53.25). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.53). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (4.87). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (0.08) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (201.16) is also within normal values, averaging (1247.73).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MRNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
