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Jul 13, 2020
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Moderna (MRNA, $73.08) gets buy rating as Jefferies analyst initiates coverage

Moderna (MRNA, $73.08) gets buy rating as Jefferies analyst initiates coverage

Jefferies analyst Michael Yee initiated coverage of Moderna  shares  with a buy rating . Yee gave  the biopharmaceutical company a share-price target of $90.

Last week, Moderna said it completed enrolling patients for a Phase II study of the vaccine candidate, mRNA-1273.  Yee predicts that mRNA-1273 will have at least an emergency-use authorization by early next year.

Moderna said that it’s on track to deliver 500 million doses per year, and possibly up to 1 billion doses per year, starting 2021.

According to Tickeron, MRNA enters an Uptrend because Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 09, 2020

This indicator signals that MRNA's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 20 of 21 cases where MRNA's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Current price $72.74 is above $69.00 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 06/09/20 - 07/10/20, the price experienced a +8% Uptrend. During the week of 07/02/20 - 07/10/20, the stock enjoyed a +7% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 9 of 9 similar backtested cases where MRNA's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

The lower Bollinger Band was broken -- a price increase is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which indicates a buy or call consideration for traders. In 7 of 8 cases where MRNA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 67 of 81 similar cases where MRNA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 20 of 21 cases where MRNA's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossed below the signal line. In 8 of 12 cases where MRNA's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 67%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 79%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.43 to 1.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MRNA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.12) is normal, around the industry mean (53.25). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.53). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (4.87). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (0.08) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (201.16) is also within normal values, averaging (1247.73).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MRNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: MRNA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for MRNA turns positive, indicating new upward trend

MRNA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 89 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 76 of the 89 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +11.41% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MRNA advanced for three days, in 217 of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 100 of 130 cases where MRNA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MRNA moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 86%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 48 of 56 cases where MRNA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MRNA turned negative on November 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MRNA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

MRNA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 1 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MRNA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 10 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.010) is normal, around the industry mean (3.498). P/E Ratio (-31.853) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-1.193). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (9.059). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (130.981) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (25.907) is also within normal values, averaging (440.869).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MRNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), Nektar Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NKTR), Inovio Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:INO), Cel-Sci Corp (ASE:CVM).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 2.23B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 58 to 138.67B. VRTX holds the highest valuation in this group at 138.67B. The lowest valued company is SEELQ at 58.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17%. PEPG experienced the highest price growth at 117%, while KPTI experienced the biggest fall at -71%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -49%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -24% and the average quarterly volume growth was -33%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 43
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 93
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: BIOTECHNOLOGY SECTOR
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General Information

a developer of transformative medicines for patients

Industry Biotechnology

Industry
Biotechnology
Address
325 Binney Street
Phone
+1 617 714-6500
Employees
4700
Web
https://www.modernatx.com
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