Molson Coors (TAP, $65.36) beats Q4 earnings estimates, but misses group sales expectations
Molson Coors Brewing Co. reported non-GAAP earnings of 84 cents per share for the fourth quarter 2018, beating Wall Street analysts’ expectations of 80 cents.
The brewing company’s group sales of $2.419 billion, however, fell short of analysts’ estimate of $2.54 billion. The figure was also -6.2% lower compared to the year-ago quarter. Softening demand in the U.S. was apparently a drag on beer sales.
For 2019, the company expects to have free-cash flow of around $1.4 billion (plus or minus 10%). It also plans to save $450 million in costs in addition to its plan to reduce costs by $7000 million over the next three years.
Molson Coors announced a dividend payout-ratio between 20% and 25% of its annual trailing earnings to be introduced by the middle of this year.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
TAP in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on August 17, 2026
TAP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 39 cases where TAP's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 64 cases where TAP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
TAP moved above its 50-day moving average on July 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TAP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TAP advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 192 cases where TAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TAP as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TAP turned negative on August 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TAP's P/B Ratio (0.791) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.177). TAP has a moderately low P/E Ratio (8.525) as compared to the industry average of (17.236). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.924) is also within normal values, averaging (2.501). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.745) is also within normal values, averaging (1.582).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TAP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a beer producer
Industry FoodMeatFishDairy
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