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Oct 17, 2018
Netflix (NFLX, $346.40 ) Garners More Subscribers Than Expected, Focuses on More Content

Netflix (NFLX, $346.40 ) Garners More Subscribers Than Expected, Focuses on More Content

Netflix reported a 'drama'tic subscriber growth. Adding almost 7 million viewers in its third quarter, the online video streaming giant beat estimates of around 5 million. That makes its number of worldwide subscribers more than 137 million.

This could potentially turn the tide for the company, after it fell short of expectations in user growth in the preceding quarter. Netflix hopes to add another 9.4 million subscribers in the last part of this year.

On Tuesday, CEO Reed Hastings attributed the discrepancy between the company's subscriber estimates and its actual figures to a "forecasting" issue. He said that going forward, the company will focus on paid subscribers — versus the existing calculation that includes people who are using free trials. Minus those on free trials, Netflix has about 130 million paid subscriptions. Nevertheless, Netflix's third-quarter earnings per share (EPS) beat estimates, at 89 cents versus the 68 cents forecast by analysts.

The company's growth/marketing strategies for the international market seems to be paying off big time. At a conference last February, chief financial officer David Wells said the company would have about 80 foreign-language productions in 2018. Gaining an additional 6 million of new international subscribers in the latest quarter,  Netflix said the figure exceeded its initial prediction.  

A key area the company is focusing on for its global audience is content production, thereby potentially heating up competition with media giants Disney and AT&T's WarnerMedia, (who are working on developing their own online streaming segments) and with entrenched players in the space such as Amazon’s Prime and  Alphabet's YouTube. Slated to spend about $8 billion on programming in 2018, Netflix said it is expecting negative free cash flow of $3 billion this year, and has similar expectations for next year. (Free cash flow is the cash that remains after a company has covered its costs and capital expenses).

In addition to its growth and success in original programming, Netflix also sees viable opportunities in licensing content from other companies. "We've been a pretty dependable buyer," Chief Content Officer Ted Sarandos said. He indicated that other studios might earn healthy returns by selling some of their content to Netflix.

 

 

Related Ticker: NFLX

NFLX's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NFLX turned positive on July 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where NFLX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NFLX's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 55 cases where NFLX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NFLX as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NFLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for NFLX entered a downward trend on July 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NFLX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.862) is normal, around the industry mean (12.700). P/E Ratio (23.510) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.173). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.431) is also within normal values, averaging (13.722). NFLX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.016). P/S Ratio (6.725) is also within normal values, averaging (2.940).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Paramount Skydance Corporation (NASDAQ:PSKY), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 17.6B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 134 to 326.97B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 326.97B. The lowest valued company is LRDG at 134.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 52%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 36%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. ANGX experienced the highest price growth at 21%, while KUST experienced the biggest fall at -34%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -52%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was -16%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 68
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
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