Netflix (NFLX, $362.77) terminates partnership with Disney's (DIS, $113.48) Marvel
On Monday, streaming giant Netflix cancelled its two superhero shows—The Punisher and Jessica Jones—marking an end to the five-year licensing agreement with Disney-owned Marvel.
This, however, does not mean that Netflix is getting rid of its superhero content, as confirmed by its recent launch of The Umbrella Academy—a story of estranged siblings with superhuman powers. Millarworld, a comic book company acquired by Netflix in 2017, will be developing its first superhero series for the streaming giant called the Jupiter’s Legacy.
But will the end of contract with Disney prove costly for Netflix?
Research reveals that licensed content has attracted more customers to Netflix than its original shows. For example, Disney content previously comprised 8 to 12% of Netflix viewership, from January 2017 through the end of October 2018.
2019 will see other new kids on the block. Disney will launch its own streaming device called the Disney+ later in 2019. Among others to follow suit is Warner Media, owned by AT&T, also set to launch its own streaming device by the end of this year.
Is Netflix up for some competition?
NFLX in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 18, 2024
NFLX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 18, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 37 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 18, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NFLX as a result. In of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NFLX just turned positive on October 18, 2024. Looking at past instances where NFLX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 309 cases where NFLX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NFLX moved out of overbought territory on October 22, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NFLX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.920) is normal, around the industry mean (5.952). P/E Ratio (51.065) is within average values for comparable stocks, (90.982). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.889) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.190) is also within normal values, averaging (30.667).
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