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Jul 10, 2020
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Netflix (NFLX, $542.12) gets price target boost from Goldman Sachs, on subscriber addition expectation

Netflix (NFLX, $542.12) gets price target boost from Goldman Sachs, on subscriber addition expectation

Netflix got  price target raise from Goldman Sachs analysts, who believe that the streaming behemoth’s second-quarter results will come in "well above guidance" .

Goldman Sachs analysts hiked their price target on Netflix shares from $540 to a Wall Street high $670. The analyst affirmed buy rating on the stock.

According to the Goldman analysts expectations, Netflix will report an addition of at least a net 12.5 million subscribers (vs. consensus estimates of  8.2 million) in the quarter. "While management is likely to guide the third quarter conservatively given the first-half outperformance and the massive uncertainty in the current environment, we believe consensus estimates for the second half and beyond remain too low," Goldman analyst Heath Terry wrote.

For the full year, Goldman projects Netflix to report paid subscriber net additions of 45.6 million (vs. the FactSet consensus estimate of 35.8 million).

According to Tickeron, NFLX's price moved above its 50-day Moving Average on June 15, 2020

This price move indicates a change in the trend, and may be a buy signal for investors. In 30 of 38 cases where NFLX's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.

Current price $545.36 is above $441.95 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 06/08/20 - 07/09/20, the price experienced a +21% Uptrend. During the week of 07/01/20 - 07/09/20, the stock enjoyed a +5% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on June 16, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 63 of 85 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where NFLX's MACD histogram became positive, in 35 of 46 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in 214 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 232 of 300 similar cases where NFLX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 32 of 51 cases where NFLX's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 63%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 78%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.13 to 1.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating risk-aware approach on strong performance. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NFLX's P/B Ratio (26.55) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.47). P/E Ratio (102.77) is within average values for comparable stocks, (81.45). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.01) is also within normal values, averaging (0.89). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (0.40) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.94) is also within normal values, averaging (143.67).

 

Related Ticker: NFLX

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for NFLX turns negative, indicating new downward trend

NFLX saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 57 of the 78 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Aroon Indicator for NFLX entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NFLX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 29 of 39 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 54 cases where NFLX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NFLX just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where NFLX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

Following a +6.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in 217 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

NFLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.757) is normal, around the industry mean (12.833). P/E Ratio (19.632) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.183) is also within normal values, averaging (2.376). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.798) is also within normal values, averaging (2.932).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NFLX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Skydance Corporation (NYSE:SKYD), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 16.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 293 to 264.04B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 264.04B. The lowest valued company is BLMZF at 293.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. ZNB experienced the highest price growth at 160%, while NIPG experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 5% and the average quarterly volume growth was -2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of online movie rental subscription services

Industry MoviesEntertainment

Industry
Cable Or Satellite TV
Address
121 Albright Way
Phone
+1 408 540-3700
Employees
16000
Web
https://www.netflix.com
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Netflix (NFLX, $542.12) gets price target boost from Goldman Sachs, on subscriber addition expectation