New bullish signal on Amazon as it hits lower rail of channel
Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) was performing incredibly well after bottoming in December. The stock had rallied from the $1,350 area all the way up to the $1,950 in just over four months. Unfortunately for shareholders, the stock has gotten caught up in the recent selling in the overall market and has pulled back down to the $1,800 level at this point.
The good news is that the stock is right around a lower rail of what I believe to be a forming trend channel. In this case, I connected the highs from January, April, and May to form the upper rail and then drew a parallel lower rail. Connecting that rail with the low from early March puts it in the $1,800 area at this time.
We also see that the stochastic readings have hit oversold territory and made a bullish crossover on May 29.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for Amazon on May 28 and it showed a confidence level of 88%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month and past predictions on the stock have been successful 77% of the time.
One of the reasons for Amazon’s incredible run over the last few years is its fundamental performance. The company scores a 99 on Investor’s Business Daily’s EPS rating and that means it is in the top 1% of companies for earnings growth in the last three years and in recent quarters.
If there is a knock on Amazon, it is the company’s profit margin is low. Currently, it is at 4.8% and that is well below average.
AMZN in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025
AMZN moved above its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 38 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMZN moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 14, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMZN as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMZN turned negative on November 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for AMZN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AMZN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 31, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AMZN entered a downward trend on October 27, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.766) is normal, around the industry mean (59.159). P/E Ratio (33.034) is within average values for comparable stocks, (60.374). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.843) is also within normal values, averaging (2.401). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.087) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.655) is also within normal values, averaging (16.770).
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a provider of on-line retail shopping services
Industry InternetRetail
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