Nike reported lower-than-expected earnings for its fiscal fourth quarter, but beat estimates on sales.
The footwear/sportswear behemoth’s adjusted earnings for the three months ending in May came in at 62 cents per share, falling short of the Street estimates of 66 cents. The figure is also -10.14% lower from the year-ago quarter.
The company’s revenue of $10.18 billion, however, beat analysts’ estimates. It registered a solid +4% year-over-year growth as well. Sales from the Nike brand, which excludes Converse merchandise, climbed +10% from the same quarter last year to $9.7 billion.
The company said that its profit margins were squeezed during the quarter in part due to investments needed to sell more directly to consumers and less through wholesalers.
In fiscal 2019, Nike’s revenues from its direct-to-consumer division touched $11.8 billion, thanks in large part to a +35% surge in online sales and a +6% jump in same-store sales , according to the company.
NKE saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 16, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where NKE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
NKE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NKE advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NKE moved out of overbought territory on October 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NKE turned negative on October 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NKE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NKE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NKE's P/B Ratio (9.862) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.051). P/E Ratio (27.224) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.555). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.032) is also within normal values, averaging (1.991). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.762) is also within normal values, averaging (1.481).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NKE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NKE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a maker of athletic footwear and apparel
Industry ApparelFootwear