Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH, $16.41) comparing earnings for Q4 for 2022 and Q4 for 2021
One of the biggest cruise ship operators in the world, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH), just released its results report for the quarter that concluded on December 31, 2022. The company's earnings report offers information about the company's financial performance and prospects going forward.
Comparing the earnings for the fourth quarter of 2022 with the same period in 2021, NCLH has reported a significant increase in revenue. In Q4 2022, the company generated revenue of $1.7 billion, compared to $15 million in Q4 2021. The increase in revenue can be attributed to the resumption of operations after a prolonged period of suspension due to the COVID-19 pandemic. NCLH resumed operations in July 2021, and the company has been gradually ramping up its operations since then.
However, despite the positive earnings report, the 10-day RSI Indicator for NCLH moved out of overbought territory on February 08, 2023. This could indicate that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options.
According to Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, which looked at 31 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone, in 26 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 84%.
For the fourth quarter of 2022, NCLH reported positive earnings, signaling a rebound from the COVID-19 pandemic's effects. Given the current market circumstances and the potential effects of the pandemic on the cruise ship sector, traders and investors must be mindful of the dangers involved with investing in the stock. Before making any investment decisions, traders may want to carefully weigh their alternatives in light of the 10-day RSI Indicator's movement out of overbought zone, which could signify a change in the trend of the company.
NCLH's RSI Oscillator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for NCLH moved out of overbought territory on December 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 35 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 26, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NCLH as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NCLH moved below its 50-day moving average on December 27, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NCLH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 30, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NCLH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NCLH entered a downward trend on December 31, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 63 cases where NCLH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NCLH advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NCLH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NCLH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (29.674) is normal, around the industry mean (13.148). P/E Ratio (53.692) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.221). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.453) is also within normal values, averaging (1.802). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.047) is also within normal values, averaging (22.805).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NCLH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of deep sea and flagged cruise ships in the travel industry
Industry OtherConsumerServices