Novavax (NVAX, $240.29) posted wider-than-expected fiscal Q4 loss
Novavax posted a fiscal fourth-quarter loss that’s wider than anticipated by analysts. However, the vaccine development company’s revenue came in higher than expected.
The net loss for the quarter widened to -$2.70 a share from -$1.13 in the year-earlier quarter. FactSet poll shows consensus estimates of a GAAP net loss of -$2.23 a share
Revenue rose $279.7 million from $8.8 million. That's higher than analysts' forecast of $202.4 million. The increase in revenue can be attributed to the company's services under an agreement with CEPI, which raises money for and supports vaccine development, and services to the U.S. government's Operation Warp Speed vaccine-development program.
"With positive efficacy results, including against evolving variant strains, NVX-Cov2373 offers a highly unique profile, including the ability to ship and store the vaccine at traditional refrigerated temperatures," President and CEO Stanley Erck said in a statement.
These attributes, according to Erck , should support emergency-use authorization. The company has initiated talks with regulators to pursue appropriate regulatory authorization, Erck indicated.
NVAX's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NVAX turned positive on July 03, 2025. Looking at past instances where NVAX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 02, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NVAX as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVAX advanced for three days, in of 261 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NVAX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
NVAX moved below its 50-day moving average on July 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVAX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 25, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVAX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NVAX entered a downward trend on June 26, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NVAX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (16.718). P/E Ratio (2.560) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.312). NVAX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.371). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.937) is also within normal values, averaging (263.500).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NVAX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a company which engages in development of novel recombinant vaccines
Industry Biotechnology
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