Nvidia’s (NVDA, $163.31) surprising acquisition of Mellanox (MLNX, $118.07)
Analysts are still trying to figure out what Nvidia Corporation’s $6.9 billion acquisition of Mellanox Technologies Ltd. could mean for the long term, as the two companies’ businesses overlap very little.
Nvidia is famous for its state-of-the-art graphics oriented chips. Over the years, it has seen an upsurge of its usage and relevance across new workloads, especially in data center markets including applications in high-performance computing and artificial intelligence.
Mellanox, on the other hand, specializes in networking chip and card making and has very little to do with actual computing. It is unclear what the combination of the two could mean in terms of revenue as both technologies already work side by side on the same servers used in high workloads.
Analysts argue that Mellanox’s $1.1 billion revenue will not be transformational for Nvidia. But Mellanox's 24.8% operating margin under Nvidia’s control might help improve the operating margins to more than 30%. Nvidia’s gross margins in 2018 came in at 69.2%. As such, the deal should be accretive to Nvidia within the first year given the attractive metrics.
Even though there is no product overlap between the two companies, the acquisition could be seen as Nvidia’s attempt to diversify its offerings and improve its competitive standing against other large data centers and networking rivals. Nvidia’s focus on AI could be a potential competition to China’s growing interest in the field.
Overall, Nvidia’s acquisition of Mellanox seems like a long-term bet that computing and networking will one day come together.
Aroon Indicator for NVDA shows an upward move is likely
NVDA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 08, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 348 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 304 of the 348 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +2.65% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in 298 of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 65 cases where NVDA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In 61 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on September 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 60%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (23.041) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.465). P/E Ratio (27.597) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.209). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.464) is also within normal values, averaging (1.728). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.575) is also within normal values, averaging (54.361).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software
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