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Jul 18, 2019
ON Semiconductor moved above its 50-day moving average and hit the lower rail of a trend channel

ON Semiconductor moved above its 50-day moving average and hit the lower rail of a trend channel

Semiconductor manufacturer ON Semiconductor (Nasdaq: ON) fell during the month of May but seems to have reversed its trend in the last month and a half. The stock moved above its 50-day moving average on July 12 and based on previous moves of this type, the stock has moved higher 38 of 42 times.

In addition to the move above the 50-day, ON has been trending higher since late May and a trend channel has formed as a result. The stock just hit the lower rail of the channel in the past week. The bounce off of the lower rail took place just as the stochastic readings hit oversold territory and reversed with a bullish crossover on July 12.

ON is scheduled to report earnings on July 29. The company has seen earnings grow by 73% per year over the last three years, but analysts expect the company to see earnings contract by 9% in 2019. Sales have grown by 23% per year over the last three years, but they only grew by 1% in the most recent quarter.

The company has pretty solid management efficiency measurements with a return on equity of 28.1% and a profit margin of 15.2%.

Related Ticker: ON

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Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


Momentum Indicator for ON turns negative, indicating new downward trend

ON saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 95 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 95 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ON declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ON entered a downward trend on September 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ON's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 62 cases where ON's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ON just turned positive on August 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where ON's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 59 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ON advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ON may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.828) is normal, around the industry mean (7.415). P/E Ratio (46.392) is within average values for comparable stocks, (156.645). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.159) is also within normal values, averaging (1.657). ON has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (4.621) is also within normal values, averaging (54.272).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ON’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ON’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 208.02B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 5.4T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.4T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 43%. SMTC experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while INDI experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of semiconductors

Industry Semiconductors

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