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Mar 10, 2023
Oracle Corp (ORCL, $86.91) after its earning report on March 09, 2023

Oracle Corp (ORCL, $86.91) after its earning report on March 09, 2023

Oracle Corporation is a multinational technology company that specializes in developing and selling computer software, hardware, and cloud services. The company recently released its earnings report for the quarter, which ended on February 28th, 2023. However, the company's stock price has since moved below its 50-day moving average on March 09, 2023, indicating a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 23 of 42 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

The earnings report showed that Oracle's revenue for the quarter was $11.2 billion, up 5% from the same quarter last year. However, the company missed analysts' expectations, which were set at $11.3 billion. The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were $1.16, up 11% from the same quarter last year but also fell short of analysts' expectations of $1.18. Oracle's cloud services and license support revenues, which account for a significant portion of its total revenue, grew by 4% to $7.4 billion.

Despite the company's revenue growth, its stock price has experienced a downward trend. Oracle's stock price has fallen below its 50-day moving average, indicating a shift from an upward trend to a downward trend. This shift in trend could be due to a variety of factors, such as the missed revenue and EPS expectations or concerns about the company's ability to compete in the rapidly evolving cloud services market.

Investors should take note of the historical trends when the stock price moves below its 50-day moving average. In 23 of 42 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. This suggests that there is a 55% chance of a continued downward trend in the stock price in the coming weeks.

However, investors should also consider the long-term outlook for Oracle. The company has a strong track record of innovation and has made significant investments in cloud services in recent years. Oracle's cloud services and license support revenues continue to grow, indicating that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing shift to cloud computing.

Oracle's earnings report showed revenue growth, but the company missed analysts' expectations. Additionally, the stock price has moved below its 50-day moving average, indicating a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. Investors should take note of historical trends and the potential for a continued downward trend in the stock price in the coming weeks.

Related Ticker: ORCL

Contributor

Serhii Bondarenko is an AI-focused trading strategist and financial markets analyst specializing in the development and application of AI trading bots and autonomous trading agents. His work combines technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative research to identify market patterns, forecast price movements, and analyze liquidity, volatility, and correlations across global stock markets. Serhii actively publishes market insights, forecasts, and trading frameworks on platforms such as Investing.com and Finextra, with a strong focus on AI-driven decision-making and next-generation algorithmic trading. His research aims to bridge the gap between traditional trading methodologies and advanced artificial intelligence, helping traders and investors navigate complex and rapidly evolving market conditions.


ORCL's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ORCL turned positive on September 03, 2026. Looking at past instances where ORCL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 38 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ORCL as a result. In of 69 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ORCL moved above its 50-day moving average on August 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ORCL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORCL advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ORCL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ORCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ORCL entered a downward trend on August 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.180) is normal, around the industry mean (22.135). P/E Ratio (27.235) is within average values for comparable stocks, (118.040). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.897) is also within normal values, averaging (1.997). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.868) is also within normal values, averaging (108.823).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ORCL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ORCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 34.71B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 44.34K to 3.71T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.71T. The lowest valued company is YYAI at 44.34K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. KPLT experienced the highest price growth at 39%, while WETO experienced the biggest fall at -55%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was 13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 1% and the average quarterly volume growth was 196%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -14 (-100 ... +100)
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a developer of a diversified line of business software products

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