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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 15, 2019

Pepsi (PEP, $112.59) meets Q4 expectations, but warns of challenges in 2019

While being able to match analysts’ expectation for the latest quarter’s earnings and revenue, PepsiCo. portends earnings challenges for 2019.

The soft drink behemoth reported fourth quarter earnings of  $1.49 per share and revenue of $19.52 billion  - both in line with what Wall Street estimated.  

Pepsi’s North American beverage market increased +2% - thereby rewarding the company’s advertising investment in the region. The company’s snack business  registered +4% organic revenue growth in North America for the quarter. 

PepsiCo.’s fiscal fourth-quarter net income came in at $6.85 billion (or $4.83 per share), compared to a loss of -$710 million, (or -50 cents per share) of the year-ago quarter.  

However, Pepsi has apparently lowered its hopes for full-year 2019 earnings, owing to currency exchange rates headwinds, increased advertising/marketing expenses, and an expected hike in the effective tax rate to 21 percent from 18.8 percent. It now predicts earnings of $5.50 per share during 2019, down from its 2018 earnings of $5.66 per share. Wall Street had expected earnings of $5.86 a share for 2019 (according to Refinitiv).

But what might be good news for the company’s shareholders is that it announced a +3% dividend increase -  to $3.82 from $3.71 - starting June.

Related Ticker: PEP

PEP in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 20, 2025

The 10-day moving average for PEP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 20, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 17, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PEP as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PEP just turned positive on November 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where PEP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PEP moved above its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PEP advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PEP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PEP moved out of overbought territory on October 22, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PEP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for PEP entered a downward trend on November 19, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: PEP's P/B Ratio (10.299) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.530). P/E Ratio (27.776) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.207). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.412) is also within normal values, averaging (5.188). PEP has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.038) as compared to the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (2.172) is also within normal values, averaging (2.594).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PEP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP).

Industry description

Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry is 23.69B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.77K to 306.32B. KO holds the highest valuation in this group at 306.32B. The lowest valued company is BVNNF at 1.77K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. CCOJY experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while STKL experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was -24%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 31%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CONSUMER STAPLES ETFs
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. PEP showed earnings on October 09, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of a diversified line of soft drinks and snack foods

Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Beverages Non Alcoholic
Address
700 Anderson Hill Road
Phone
+1 914 253-2000
Employees
318000
Web
https://www.pepsico.com
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