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Jul 16, 2021
Pepsi (PEP, $155.25) crushes fiscal Q2 expectations

Pepsi (PEP, $155.25) crushes fiscal Q2 expectations

PepsiCo. posted its fiscal second quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations.

The beverage giant’s adjusted earnings for the quarter came in at $1.72, compared to $1.53 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

Revenue increased more than +20% year-over-year to $19.22 billion , also exceeding analysts’ expectation of $17.96 billion.

Net sales climbed +20.5% year-over-year to $19.22 billion, vs. analysts’ expectations of $17.96 billion. Organic revenue (which excludes foreign currency impact, acquisitions and divestitures) rose 12.8%.

PepsiCo.’s North American beverage business generated an organic revenue growth of 21%, the highest of all of Pepsi’s divisions during the quarter. The Quaker Foods North America segment was the only business to report decreasing organic revenue (a -21% fall in the segment’s volume led to a -14% decrease in organic revenue ).

The company narrowed its projection for 2021 organic revenue growth from mid-single digits to 6%.

Pepsi now projects + 11% growth in constant currency earnings per share, higher than its prior forecast of high-single digit growth. The forecast implies core earnings per share of $6.20 for 2021. Analysts had forecast full-year earnings growth of 7.2%.

The company also expressed its plans to expand the duration and scope of its five-year productivity program. It expects to generate at least $1 billion in annual savings through 2026.

Related Ticker: PEP

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for PEP turns positive, indicating new upward trend

PEP saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 63 cases where PEP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PEP just turned positive on July 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where PEP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PEP moved above its 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PEP advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PEP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

PEP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.696) is normal, around the industry mean (5.980). P/E Ratio (18.452) is within average values for comparable stocks, (45.159). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.525) is also within normal values, averaging (4.570). PEP has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.041) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (1.992) is also within normal values, averaging (3.004).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PEP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PEP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP).

Industry description

Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry is 47.74B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.77K to 377.38B. KO holds the highest valuation in this group at 377.38B. The lowest valued company is BVNNF at 1.77K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was 9%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. MNST experienced the highest price growth at 107%, while ZVIA experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was -33%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -16% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: -29 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of a diversified line of soft drinks and snack foods

Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic

Profile
Details
Industry
Beverages Non Alcoholic
Address
700 Anderson Hill Road
Phone
+1 914 253-2000
Employees
306000
Web
https://www.pepsico.com
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