Pepsi (PEP, $168.58) beats Q4 earnings expectations; but full-year guidance is below analysts' projection
PepsiCo reported its fourth quarter earnings that topped analysts’ expectations. Revenue, too beat Street estimates. However, the beverage behemoth’s projection on the full-year performance fell short of analysts’ forecasts.
The company’s adjusted earnings came in at $1.53 a share, compared to $1.52 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue of $25.25 billion also beat $24.24 billion expected.
The company’s organic revenue, which excludes acquisitions and divestitures, climbed +11.9% in the quarter.
Pepsi’s North American beverage division’s organic revenue grew +12%, as it ventured into developing new products like an energy drink with Starbucks.
Frito-Lay organic revenue rose by 13% for the quarter.
Quaker Foods North America’s organic revenue climbed +9%.
Latin America experienced the biggest quarterly jump in organic revenue, at +17%. Mexico, Brazil, Turkey, Spain, India, Egypt, China and Thailand had double-digit growth in the quarter.
In an interview with CNBC, Pepsi’s chief financial officer, Hugh Johnston, mentioned cost challenges, but said the company has the brand loyalty and pricing power to “get through the year with our margins pretty well intact.” Johnston added on an earnings call that he expects the company would increase prices again.
Pepsi predicts organic revenue growth of 6% for the full-year 2022. The company expects fiscal 2022 core constant currency earnings of $6.67 per share lower than analysts’ projections of $6.73.
The company expects to pay out around $7.7 billion to shareholders, including dividends of $6.2 billion and share buybacks of $1.5 billion, in the coming year.
PEP's Stochastic Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 2 days
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PEP just turned positive on July 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where PEP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PEP advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PEP as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PEP moved below its 50-day moving average on July 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PEP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PEP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.569) is normal, around the industry mean (5.881). P/E Ratio (18.178) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.335). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.502) is also within normal values, averaging (4.576). PEP has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.041) as compared to the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (1.962) is also within normal values, averaging (2.979).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PEP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PEP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of a diversified line of soft drinks and snack foods
Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic
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