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Oct 02, 2018
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PepsiCo (PEP, $110.71) Third Quarter Performance Beats Analysts' Expectations

PepsiCo (PEP, $110.71) Third Quarter Performance Beats Analysts' Expectations

PepsiCo, Inc. reported earnings higher than expected, as new strategies for the North American market paid off, along with growing sales in emerging markets.

Excluding one-time items, the company raked in $1.59 per share earnings, beating analysts' estimates of $1.57 for the third quarter ending September 8. Total net income of $2.49 billion (or $1.75 per share) was up a whopping 16% from $2.14 billion (or $1.48 per share) a year earlier.

Net revenue increased 1.5 percent to $16.49 billion, which is higher than analysts' average projection of $16.36 billion.

By shifting its beverage portfolio more towards healthier options such as non-carbonated drinks and sparkling water (including its launch of brands Bubly and Lifewtr), Pepsi managed to revive sales in an increasingly health-conscious consumer segment of  North America. The firm's beverage sales in the region grew 2.3% in the third-quarter, albeit missing analysts' average estimate of a 5% increase, according to Thomson Reuters.

Due to decreasing consumer preference for salty snacks, Pepsi’s Frito-Lay sales fell short of analysts' projections, but still managed to grow in the positive territory ( at 2.6%) in North America.

In the emerging markets, organic sales rose 10% in the quarter on the back of expanding marketing and new product launches in Mexico, India and China.

PepsiCo said it now projects  its full-year organic revenue ( which excludes acquisitions and forex effects) to grow at least 3 percent, up from a prior forecast of 2.3% increase.

 

 

 

Related Ticker: PEP

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


PEP's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PEP turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where PEP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PEP as a result. In 46 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

PEP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PEP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

Following a +1.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PEP advanced for three days, in 114 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 39%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 78 of 229 cases where PEP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 34%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PEP moved out of overbought territory on November 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 45%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PEP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

PEP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PEP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.730) is normal, around the industry mean (-3.208). P/E Ratio (18.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.786). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.316) is also within normal values, averaging (3.732). Dividend Yield (0.042) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.901) is also within normal values, averaging (2.785).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PEP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP).

Industry description

Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry is 50.4B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.51K to 411.62B. KO holds the highest valuation in this group at 411.62B. The lowest valued company is NTEI at 1.51K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. REED experienced the highest price growth at 24%, while BNKK experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 34% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 45
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 23 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of a diversified line of soft drinks and snack foods

Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic

Industry
Beverages Non Alcoholic
Address
700 Anderson Hill Road
Phone
+1 914 253-2000
Employees
306000
Web
https://www.pepsico.com
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