PepsiCo (PEP, $116.00) starts restructuring plan but won't break up the company
After publishing PepsiCo's (PEP) recent fourth quarterly report, the new CEO Ramon Laguarta reiterated he is satisfied with the Company’s product and geographic portfolios and, therefore, has no plans to divest its operations by shedding or acquiring any significant businesses.
However, the company has put into motion a new restructuring program that may lead to an unspecified number of job losses and factories closures over the coming years. This is also expected save billions of dollars in associated costs for the company.
As of today, PEP expects that this program may come at a cost of approx. $2.5 billion in terms of pre-tax restructuring charges through 2023, mostly from severance and other employee costs. In its FY 2018 results, the company allocated $138 million towards these restructuring costs with a further projected expense of $800 million in related charges during the current year.
PEP is optimistic about its future growth anticipating organic revenue to rise 4% this year over last year’s 3.7%. However, core earnings excluding currency fluctuations are expected to fall by approx. 1% due to items including a higher tax rate and investments being made this year. The Company further expects to spend ~$4.5 billion on capex in 2019, a y-o-y increase of more than $1billion.
PEP in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 28, 2024
PEP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 40 cases where PEP's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PEP's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for PEP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PEP advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 24, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PEP as a result. In of 101 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PEP turned negative on October 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
PEP moved below its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PEP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for PEP entered a downward trend on October 16, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.853) is normal, around the industry mean (75.858). P/E Ratio (26.366) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.998). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.864) is also within normal values, averaging (5.544). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.615) is also within normal values, averaging (3.197).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PEP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a provider of a diversified line of soft drinks and snack foods
Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic