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Feb 19, 2019
PepsiCo (PEP, $116.00) starts restructuring plan but won't break up the company

PepsiCo (PEP, $116.00) starts restructuring plan but won't break up the company

After publishing PepsiCo's (PEP) recent fourth quarterly report, the new CEO Ramon Laguarta reiterated he is satisfied with the Company’s product and geographic portfolios and, therefore, has no plans to divest its operations by shedding or acquiring any significant businesses.

However, the company has put into motion a new restructuring program that may lead to an unspecified number of job losses and factories closures over the coming years. This is also expected save billions of dollars in associated costs for the company.

As of today, PEP expects that this program may come at a cost of approx. $2.5 billion in terms of pre-tax restructuring charges through 2023, mostly from severance and other employee costs. In its FY 2018 results, the company allocated $138 million towards these restructuring costs with a further projected expense of $800 million in related charges during the current year.

PEP is optimistic about its future growth anticipating organic revenue to rise 4% this year over last year’s 3.7%. However, core earnings excluding currency fluctuations are expected to fall by approx. 1% due to items including a higher tax rate and investments being made this year. The Company further expects to spend ~$4.5 billion on capex in 2019, a y-o-y increase of more than $1billion. 

Related Ticker: PEP

PEP sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

PEP saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 31, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 51%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PEP as a result. In 31 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 36%.

PEP moved below its 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PEP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PEP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

The Aroon Indicator for PEP entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 22 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

PEP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.937) is normal, around the industry mean (6.793). P/E Ratio (16.841) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.051). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.316) is also within normal values, averaging (3.732). PEP has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.045) as compared to the industry average of (0.014). P/S Ratio (1.901) is also within normal values, averaging (2.785).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PEP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PEP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP).

Industry description

Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry is 45.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.51K to 375.1B. KO holds the highest valuation in this group at 375.1B. The lowest valued company is NTEI at 1.51K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13%. REED experienced the highest price growth at 7%, while BNKK experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was -3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 19% and the average quarterly volume growth was -22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of a diversified line of soft drinks and snack foods

Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic

Industry
Beverages Non Alcoholic
Address
700 Anderson Hill Road
Phone
+1 914 253-2000
Employees
306000
Web
https://www.pepsico.com
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