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Feb 22, 2022

Pool Corp. (POOL, $454.83) beat Q4 expectations

Pool Corporation posted fourth-quarter 2021 earnings and revenues that exceeded Zacks Consensus Estimate. The figures also rose from the same quarter a year ago.

During fourth-quarter 2021, the wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies reported adjusted earnings of $2.30 per share, well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.97. In the prior-year quarter, the company’s adjusted earnings were $1.30 per share.

Net revenues rose +23.4% from the year-ago quarter to  $1,035.6 million in the quarter surpassed the consensus expectations of $979 million.

Pool Corp’s revenues in the Base Business segment surged +22.3% year over year to $990.7 million. Operating income climbed +66.4% year over year to $127.8 million, while operating margin expanded 340 basis points (bps) to 12.9%.

The Excluded segment generated net revenues of $44.9 million in the fourth quarter compared with $29.4 million reported in the prior-year quarter. The segment’s operating loss came in at -$2.5 million against an operating income of $127.9 million of the year-ago quarter.  The segment’s operating margin for the quarter was 0.2%, narrower than the year-ago period’s 8.4%.

For the year 2022, Pool Corp. projects adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $17-$17.75, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.57.

Related Ticker: POOL

POOL's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for POOL entered a downward trend on April 23, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 155 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 155 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 02, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on POOL as a result. In of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for POOL turned negative on March 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

POOL moved below its 50-day moving average on April 10, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for POOL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 11, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where POOL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

POOL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 21, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where POOL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where POOL advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 49, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. POOL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.737) is normal, around the industry mean (6.281). P/E Ratio (30.080) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.774). POOL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.220). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.361) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.826) is also within normal values, averaging (1.603).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST).

Industry description

Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Wholesale Distributors Industry is 7.4B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 70.2K to 49.98B. GWW holds the highest valuation in this group at 49.98B. The lowest valued company is SCOO at 70.2K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 22%. DSGR experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while HPURF experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 45
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 57
Profit Risk Rating: 48
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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POOLDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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published General Information

General Information

a distributor of swimming pool supplies and related products

Industry WholesaleDistributors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Wholesale Distributors
Address
109 Northpark Boulevard
Phone
+1 985 892-5521
Employees
6000
Web
https://www.poolcorp.com
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