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published in Blogs
Feb 22, 2022

Pool Corp. (POOL, $454.83) beat Q4 expectations

Pool Corporation posted fourth-quarter 2021 earnings and revenues that exceeded Zacks Consensus Estimate. The figures also rose from the same quarter a year ago.

During fourth-quarter 2021, the wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies reported adjusted earnings of $2.30 per share, well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.97. In the prior-year quarter, the company’s adjusted earnings were $1.30 per share.

Net revenues rose +23.4% from the year-ago quarter to  $1,035.6 million in the quarter surpassed the consensus expectations of $979 million.

Pool Corp’s revenues in the Base Business segment surged +22.3% year over year to $990.7 million. Operating income climbed +66.4% year over year to $127.8 million, while operating margin expanded 340 basis points (bps) to 12.9%.

The Excluded segment generated net revenues of $44.9 million in the fourth quarter compared with $29.4 million reported in the prior-year quarter. The segment’s operating loss came in at -$2.5 million against an operating income of $127.9 million of the year-ago quarter.  The segment’s operating margin for the quarter was 0.2%, narrower than the year-ago period’s 8.4%.

For the year 2022, Pool Corp. projects adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $17-$17.75, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $16.57.

Related Ticker: POOL

POOL in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on February 28, 2024

The 10-day moving average for POOL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 28, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 28, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on POOL as a result. In of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for POOL just turned positive on February 09, 2024. Looking at past instances where POOL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

POOL moved above its 50-day moving average on February 23, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where POOL advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where POOL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

POOL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for POOL entered a downward trend on February 06, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 48, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. POOL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: POOL's P/B Ratio (11.737) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.072). P/E Ratio (29.847) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.821). POOL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.567). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.804) is also within normal values, averaging (1.469).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST).

Industry description

Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Wholesale Distributors Industry is 7.8B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 70.2K to 47.87B. GWW holds the highest valuation in this group at 47.87B. The lowest valued company is SCOO at 70.2K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. BXC experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while ADRZY experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was -56%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -81% and the average quarterly volume growth was -51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 54
Profit Risk Rating: 48
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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POOLDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a distributor of swimming pool supplies and related products

Industry WholesaleDistributors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Wholesale Distributors
Address
109 Northpark Boulevard
Phone
+1 985 892-5521
Employees
6000
Web
https://www.poolcorp.com
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POOL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, POOL has been loosely correlated with SITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if POOL jumps, then SITE could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To POOL
1D Price
Change %
POOL100%
+1.24%
SITE - POOL
65%
Loosely correlated
+1.93%
BXC - POOL
55%
Loosely correlated
+1.99%
BECN - POOL
54%
Loosely correlated
-0.15%
FERG - POOL
53%
Loosely correlated
+1.41%
WSO - POOL
50%
Loosely correlated
+0.10%
More
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