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Mar 29, 2019
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Positive outlook for 2020 as Five Below (FIVE, $125.22) delivers a superb quarter

Positive outlook for 2020 as Five Below (FIVE, $125.22) delivers a superb quarter

Analysts of Buckingham Research Group, as well as KeyBanc Capital Markets, maintain an optimistic stance on Five Below with a price target lifted from $135 to $145.

Five Below’s earnings have demonstrated a consistent growth across all relevant metrics remarkable of which were an EPS of $1.59 versus an estimated $1.57 per share, and comparable store sales of 4.4% versus an estimate of 4.2%. However, management's full-year 2019 EPS guidance of $3.00 to $3.07 fell short of consensus estimates of $3.13, but factors such as multiple transitory cost pressures justly explained the drop.

Analysts further add that as long as Five Below continues to show strong unit economics, positive comps, and unit growth, investors are safe to maintain their optimistic stance on the company’s shares.

The company’s quarterly results also reveal that it is not just restricted to toys and games that account for its broad-based momentum. Further, the company’s values are not replicated by e-commerce retailers like Amazon since the retailer works with manufacturers for its own products that sell below $5.

The company now expects a 20% average annual sales growth and similar net income growth rates through 2020.

Related Ticker: FIVE

FIVE in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026

The 10-day moving average for FIVE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FIVE as a result. In 53 of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FIVE just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where FIVE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

FIVE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +6.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FIVE advanced for three days, in 235 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FIVE moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 62%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIVE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

FIVE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for FIVE entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FIVE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 42 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.251) is normal, around the industry mean (2.298). P/E Ratio (21.032) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.260). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.984) is also within normal values, averaging (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.093) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.484) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FIVE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ:TSCO), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), GameStop Corp (NYSE:GME), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), RH (NYSE:RH), 1-800-FLOWERS.COM (NASDAQ:FLWS).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 4.62B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.1K to 50.98B. ANCTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 50.98B. The lowest valued company is SIMPQ at 3.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. EVGO experienced the highest price growth at 55%, while HTLM experienced the biggest fall at -22%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -24% and the average quarterly volume growth was -35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a retaier of clothing and other accessories for teens

Industry SpecialtyStores

Industry
Discount Stores
Address
701 Market Street
Phone
+1 215 546-7909
Employees
24600
Web
https://www.fivebelow.com
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