Analysts of Buckingham Research Group, as well as KeyBanc Capital Markets, maintain an optimistic stance on Five Below with a price target lifted from $135 to $145.
Five Below’s earnings have demonstrated a consistent growth across all relevant metrics remarkable of which were an EPS of $1.59 versus an estimated $1.57 per share, and comparable store sales of 4.4% versus an estimate of 4.2%. However, management's full-year 2019 EPS guidance of $3.00 to $3.07 fell short of consensus estimates of $3.13, but factors such as multiple transitory cost pressures justly explained the drop.
Analysts further add that as long as Five Below continues to show strong unit economics, positive comps, and unit growth, investors are safe to maintain their optimistic stance on the company’s shares.
The company’s quarterly results also reveal that it is not just restricted to toys and games that account for its broad-based momentum. Further, the company’s values are not replicated by e-commerce retailers like Amazon since the retailer works with manufacturers for its own products that sell below $5.
The company now expects a 20% average annual sales growth and similar net income growth rates through 2020.
The Aroon Indicator for FIVE entered a downward trend on May 23, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 148 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 148 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 19, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FIVE as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FIVE turned negative on May 19, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
FIVE moved below its 50-day moving average on May 19, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FIVE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 26, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIVE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for FIVE's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FIVE advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
FIVE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FIVE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.246) is normal, around the industry mean (14.052). P/E Ratio (37.736) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.028). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.316) is also within normal values, averaging (2.437). FIVE has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.037). P/S Ratio (3.212) is also within normal values, averaging (68.774).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows