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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 18, 2018

Possible Double-Bottom Pattern for ArcelorMittal

Luxembourg-based steel manufacturer ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT) has struggled in 2018 and the stock is down just over 23% on a year to date basis. While that isn’t terrible given how many stocks in the materials sector have struggled, but there could be something in the chart that is a good sign for Arcelor.

Looking at the daily chart, we see that the stock hit a low at $23.80 back on October 26. The stock bounced from there, but then slipped again over the last few weeks. However, the stock hit a low of $23.83 on November 13 and that could be a double-bottom pattern for the stock.

For the pattern to be completed, the stock will need to rise above the high between the two lows. In the case of Arcelor, it will need to move above $26.34. There is still resistance looming overhead at the $28 level, but that is 12.9% above yesterday’s closing price.

Arcelor’s fundamental measurements are all over the place. Earnings have grown by 271% per year over the last three years, but the most recent quarter showed an earnings decline of 25%.

The return on equity is 13.3%, the profit margin is 6.6%, and the operating margin is 9.7%. All of those figures are average to below average.

The fundamentals and the long-term technical picture might not allow the stock to jump too much, but the short-term technical picture suggests that we could see a decent bounce.

Related Ticker: MT

MT's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MT turned positive on November 11, 2025. Looking at past instances where MT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 11, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MT as a result. In of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MT advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MT entered a downward trend on November 12, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.562) is normal, around the industry mean (1.396). P/E Ratio (11.871) is within average values for comparable stocks, (76.156). MT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.143). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.042) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.508) is also within normal values, averaging (2.436).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nucor Corp (NYSE:NUE), ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT), Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF).

Industry description

The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Steel Industry is 5.74B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.16K to 34B. NUE holds the highest valuation in this group at 34B. The lowest valued company is ADTC at 39.16K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Steel Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. ARCXF experienced the highest price growth at 58%, while INHD experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Steel Industry was -21%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -62% and the average quarterly volume growth was -44%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 22
P/E Growth Rating: 36
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: 32 (-100 ... +100)
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MT
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. MT showed earnings on November 06, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of mines, manufactures and distributes carbon steel and stainless steel products

Industry Steel

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Steel
Address
24-26, Boulevard d’Avranches
Phone
+352 47921
Employees
126756
Web
http://www.arcelormittal.com
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