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published in Blogs
Dec 29, 2021

Protecting Your Financial Health During a Pandemic

If the Covid-19 global pandemic has you worried about your health and safety, I can assure you that you are not alone. These are challenging times, and we should all be following the guidance and advice of health experts as it relates to public safety.

But I also think this is the time that investors need to be focused on financial health.  

As an investment expert – not a health expert – my advice to you is to create two distinct lanes for how you’re thinking during this public health crisis. In one lane, you have your feelings and actions as they relate to personal health and safety. This is your lane for heightened precautions, safety measures, and so on.

In the other lane, I think you maintain a positive, long-term outlook on how the economy and market are likely to stage a full recovery, with asset prices swinging back to new highs perhaps even by the end of the year. This is your rational, forward-looking lane. This mindset is extremely challenging to maintain when it feels like the sky is falling. But in my view, it’s views like this that separate the smart money from the not-so-smart money over time.

The fact that volatility tends to strike in scary clusters makes this kind of long-term thinking very difficult for many investors. We can easily get drawn into intense focus over what’s going to happen tomorrow versus what’s going to happen a year or five years from now. Short-term thinking is emotionally-driven; long-term thinking is data-driven. The latter is an investor’s key to success, especially in times like these.

We are starting to see a more coordinated fiscal, monetary, and organizational response to the crisis that I think will pay off in the next few months. It won’t feel that way as the media’s grip on the national consciousness – coupled with ongoing volatility and big down days – give the impression that nothing is working and the world is ending. Algorithmic trading platforms often exacerbate the ups and downs too, making each day feel unprecedented in some way. But as a nation we have gotten through myriad crises throughout our history, and we’ll get through this one, too. Investors just need to stay patient and smart.

One final note on volatility: 24 of the 25 best days in the market’s history have come within 30 days of the worst days in the market’s history. That’s almost 100% of huge upswings happening in close proximity to huge downswings! This should serve as a reminder to investors not to try and time the market. Missing the big up days can mean compromising your long-term returns.

 

 

Related Ticker: URTH

URTH sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

URTH saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on March 26, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 04, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on URTH as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

URTH moved below its 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for URTH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 19, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URTH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where URTH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

URTH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 386 cases where URTH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), VISA (NYSE:V), JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI World Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of the underlying index. The index is designed to measure the performance of equity securities in the large and mid-capitalization segments of developed market countries.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares MSCI World ETF ETF is 89.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 64.65K to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BAYN at 64.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI World ETF ETF was -1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 20%. NN experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while NA experienced the biggest fall at -32%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI World ETF ETF was -1%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 18% and the average quarterly volume growth was -13%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 56
Profit Risk Rating: 49
Seasonality Score: -11 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: Large-Cap Technology Stocks
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