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Indra Bhattacharjee's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 30, 2018

Rebounding Oil Prices Help British Petroleum (BP, $41.84) Double its Profit

British oil giant, British Petroleum, on Tuesday reported that it has more than doubled it’s bottom-line in the third quarter, bolstered by stronger oil prices.

With oil prices hitting a four-year high in the last quarter, the company reported a ~300% jump in its revenue from $20 billion to $80.8 billion (£63 billion), compared to the same period in the previous year.

The underlying profit of the company for the three month period ending September 30 grew by more than 100%, from $1.86 billion to $3.8 billion, over the three-month period in the previous quarter. The company also declared a dividend of 10.25 cents per share for the third quarter, 2.5% higher than a year earlier.

Considering the tensions surrounding the oil markets, owing to the looming U.S. sanctions on Iran (OPEC's third largest oil producer) and the heightened tensions between Washington and Saudi Arabia (the world's biggest oil exporter), BP's estimated outperformance is considered to be a big news for the industry.

Related Ticker: BP

BP in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on March 13, 2024

BP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 13, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 31 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BP moved out of overbought territory on March 26, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where BP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 01, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BP as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BP just turned positive on March 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where BP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for BP moved above the 200-day moving average on March 27, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BP advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 259 cases where BP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.501) is normal, around the industry mean (1.190). P/E Ratio (7.272) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.441). BP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (13.379) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.374). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.105) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.527) is also within normal values, averaging (0.937).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 59.69B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 456.18B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 456.18B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. OGFGY experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while POGS experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -11% and the average quarterly volume growth was -28%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 46
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 17 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of petroleum, natural gas and related products

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
1 St James's Square
Phone
+44 2074964000
Employees
87800
Web
https://www.bp.com
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