Retail sales rise +0.7% in August, exceeding expectations
U.S. retail sales climbed higher in August, according to data from the Commerce Department. That indicates that consumer spending is showing strength despite the Delta-variant spread and supply chain issues.
Retail sales rose +0.7% from the prior month to $618.7 billion in August, thereby beating the Street consensus forecast of a -0.8% decline. In July, retail sales fell -1.1% vs. a prior estimate of a -0.5% decline.
Stripping out auto and gasoline sales, August retail sales grew +1.8%, compared to a Street consensus of +0.1%
XRT's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XRT turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where XRT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 47 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 59 cases where XRT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Following a +0.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XRT advanced for three days, in 239 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
XRT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XRT as a result. In 78 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XRT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator for XRT entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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