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May 09, 2025

Review of the Week of May 5–9, 2025: Financial Leaders

Overview

The week of May 5-9, 2025, was marked by heightened market activity driven by the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, President Trump’s ongoing policy rhetoric, and optimism surrounding U.S.-China trade negotiations. Equity markets experienced volatility, with the S&P 500 navigating a historic winning streak before midweek losses. Safe-haven assets like gold saw sharp gains early in the week, while cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, surged on trade deal hopes. Corporate earnings provided mixed signals, with strong performances from Disney contrasting Tesla’s challenges. The week underscored the market’s sensitivity to monetary policy and geopolitical developments.

Financial Markets Weekly Recap

Equities

Market Indices: The S&P 500 (SPY) marked a historic milestone early in the week, achieving its longest winning streak in 20 years. However, it recorded back-to-back losses midweek as traders adopted a cautious stance ahead of the Fed’s rate decision. By Friday, futures stabilized following President Trump’s public encouragement to “buy stocks now.” The Nasdaq Composite (QQQ) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) followed similar patterns, with tech-heavy indices showing resilience despite midweek dips.

Sector Performance: Technology and entertainment sectors outperformed, driven by strong corporate earnings. Semiconductor and AI-related stocks remained focal points for investors, while automotive stocks faced pressure due to Tesla’s declining European market share.

Corporate Highlights:

  • Disney (DIS): Shares surged 6% after reporting a surprise earnings beat, with Q1 revenue exceeding expectations and strong performance in its streaming and theme park divisions.
  • Tesla (TSLA): Stock declined after reports highlighted a 37% year-over-year drop in European market share, raising concerns about competitive pressures despite optimism for its low-priced electric vehicle.
  • Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A): Warren Buffett announced plans to step down as CEO, with key takeaways from the company’s annual meeting emphasizing succession planning and continued focus on long-term value creation.

Currencies

  • U.S. Dollar: The dollar gained strength post-Fed decision, with the EUR/USD pair retreating as Fed Chair Powell reiterated that rates would remain unchanged, despite President Trump’s public criticism labeling him a “fool.” The USD/JPY pair snapped a three-day losing streak, supported by stabilizing market sentiment.
  • Euro: The euro weakened against the dollar, reflecting reduced safe-haven demand as trade tensions eased.
  • Yen: The Japanese yen saw early safe-haven inflows but later stabilized as risk-on sentiment returned with trade deal optimism.

Commodities

  • Gold (XAUUSD): Gold prices surged nearly 5% to $3,465 per ounce early in the week, driven by safe-haven demand ahead of the Fed’s meeting. Prices later moderated as trade deal optimism reduced the need for hedges, ending the week around $3,400 per ounce.

Cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin (BTC.X): Bitcoin rallied from $95,000 to break $104,000 by week’s end, fueled by Fed Chair Powell’s press conference and growing optimism for a U.S.-China trade deal. Traders are eyeing $100,000 as a key psychological level.
  • Ethereum (ETH.X): Ethereum surged 25% to $2,300, reflecting broader crypto market enthusiasm tied to improved risk sentiment.

Economic Indicators and Policy Developments

  • Federal Reserve Decision: The Fed held interest rates steady, ignoring President Trump’s calls for rate cuts. Powell’s press conference emphasized data-driven policy, sparking renewed crypto enthusiasm while equities erased daily gains.
  • Trade Developments: Optimism for a potential U.S.-China trade deal gained traction, boosting risk assets like cryptocurrencies and equities while reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold and the yen.
  • Economic Data: Investors awaited upcoming releases, including the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation gauge and nonfarm payrolls, for further insights into inflation and labor market trends.

Market Performance Summary

The week was a dynamic mix of volatility and recovery, with the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and U.S.-China trade deal optimism shaping market movements. Equities navigated midweek losses but stabilized by Friday, while gold and cryptocurrencies reflected shifting risk sentiments. Corporate earnings provided key highlights, with Disney outperforming and Tesla facing challenges. The U.S. dollar’s strength underscored the Fed’s steady policy stance, despite political pressures.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: SPY, DIS, TSLA

Momentum Indicator for SPY turns positive, indicating new upward trend

SPY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 03, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 68 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 68 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 457 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPY moved out of overbought territory on September 23, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 49 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 71 cases where SPY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on September 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500® Index. The trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index, with the weight of each stock in the portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the SPDR® S&P 500® ETF ETF is 138.68B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.77B to 4.34T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.34T. The lowest valued company is ENPH at 4.77B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the SPDR® S&P 500® ETF ETF was 20%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 62%, and the average quarterly price growth was 180%. INTC experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while KMX experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the SPDR® S&P 500® ETF ETF was -51%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 19% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 45
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 51
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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