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Jul 18, 2023

Robotic Trading Triumph: AFRM Gains +2.88% in Just One Week

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has revolutionized trading strategies, giving rise to sophisticated AI trading robots known as "Swing trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy (TA)." These bots have demonstrated their prowess in generating substantial gains, as evidenced by the +2.88% increase achieved while trading AFRM over the past week. In this article, we will delve into the recent technical indicators of AFRM and analyze its earnings results to understand its potential trajectory.

AFRM's Technical Indicator Analysis

On July 13, 2023, AFRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band, a significant technical event that could signal a potential reversal in the stock's price trend. Typically, when a stock surpasses the upper band, it is regarded as overbought, implying that the stock may be priced higher than its intrinsic value. This often leads to a corrective move, pushing the stock back towards the middle band, which represents the 20-day moving average.

Based on historical data analyzed by the A.I.dvisor, there were 17 similar instances in which AFRM breached the upper band. In an overwhelming majority of cases, specifically 16 out of 17, the stock subsequently declined. This pattern suggests a compelling 90% probability of a downward price movement in the aftermath of the recent breach.

Considering this technical analysis, investors might contemplate selling the stock or exploring put options as a potential hedging strategy to protect against potential losses resulting from an anticipated downturn.

Earnings Results and Market Capitalization

It is crucial to consider a company's financial performance and earnings results when evaluating its investment potential. AFRM's last earnings report, released on May 09, indicated earnings per share (EPS) of -68 cents, which exceeded the estimated EPS of -92 cents. This positive earnings surprise could be perceived as a favorable indicator for the company's fundamental health.

As of the latest data available, AFRM has 13.55 million shares outstanding, resulting in a current market capitalization of 4.85 billion dollars. Market capitalization is an essential metric as it reflects the total value of a company's outstanding shares, providing investors with an understanding of the company's size and worth.

Summary

The utilization of AI trading robots, such as the "Swing trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy (TA)," has demonstrated remarkable gains in trading AFRM. Nevertheless, investors must exercise caution and consider the technical indicators when making investment decisions. AFRM's recent breach above its upper Bollinger Band suggests a high probability of a price reversal, potentially leading to a downward movement. In contrast, the positive earnings results might provide some confidence in the company's underlying strength.

As an AI-driven trading strategy, the Swing trader bot's ability to adapt and learn from historical data could prove invaluable in navigating the complexities of the market. However, investors are advised to approach AI trading with a blend of analytical insights and careful consideration of both technical indicators and fundamental performance to make well-informed decisions.

Related Ticker: AFRM

AFRM's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for AFRM moved out of oversold territory on March 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AFRM just turned positive on March 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where AFRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 35 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AFRM advanced for three days, in of 250 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 52 cases where AFRM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 28, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AFRM as a result. In of 67 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AFRM moved below its 50-day moving average on February 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AFRM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 06, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AFRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AFRM entered a downward trend on March 26, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.055) is normal, around the industry mean (30.873). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.445). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.727). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.495) is also within normal values, averaging (59.201).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AFRM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AFRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.15B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. ICCT experienced the highest price growth at 415%, while LGMK experienced the biggest fall at -82%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 30%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 25% and the average quarterly volume growth was 135%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -11 (-100 ... +100)
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