Ryanair (RYAAY, $96.04) Lowers Profit Expectations -- Are Rivals Milking The Opportunity?
Ryanair is cutting its profit projections, as the European low-cost airline struggles with flight cancellations, fuel costs and staff strikes.
It announced profit forecast for the current fiscal year in the range of €1.1 billion ($1.27 billion) to €1.2 billion ($1.39 billion) – which is around €150 million ($174 million) lower than the company’s previous expectation. September saw several flight cancellations of the airline and therefore less traffic, which in turn seems to have spiraled into even less demand for its flights as customer apprehensions probably got aggravated. Spike in fuel costs further pressured margins for the company.
As for cabin crew strikes - something it's been facing since December 2017 - the airline has yet to settle disputes with union officials in countries such as Spain, Portugal, Germany and Belgium. But it has had managed to reach agreements with pilots in Ireland and Italy.
Probably adding to Ryanair’s woes is rival EasyJet’s claims on Friday that the latter is benefiting in some ways out of Ryanair’s problems. However, EastJet also expressed concerns about higher fuel costs and staff pay deals of its own.
RYAAY's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for RYAAY moved out of oversold territory on September 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RYAAY as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RYAAY just turned positive on September 29, 2025. Looking at past instances where RYAAY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
RYAAY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for RYAAY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RYAAY advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 260 cases where RYAAY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 60 cases where RYAAY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RYAAY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RYAAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.779) is normal, around the industry mean (2.997). P/E Ratio (13.911) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.414). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.085) is also within normal values, averaging (12.075). RYAAY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.016) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). RYAAY's P/S Ratio (1.970) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.605).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a holding company with interest in operating a low-fares airline
Industry Airlines
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