SAP (SAP, $108.31) Is Snapping Up Qualtrics For $8 Billion
SAP announced Sunday that its is acquiring Qualtrics for $8 billion. Qualtrics, a survey software making firm, was planning its IPO not too long ago.
The all-cash deal, approved by both the companies’ boards, will be the second largest acquisition for enterprise software maker SAP, after its $8.3 billion purchase of Concur in 2014.
Qualtrics’s 9,000+ customers include Kellogg, Mastercard, Microsoft and BlackRock among others. One of its main competitors is SurveyMonkey. As of this year so far, Qualtrics seems to have an edge over SurveyMonkey in terms of revenue growth: In the first half of 2018, revenue of Qualtrics grew +41.7% to reach $184.2 million; in comparison, SurveyMonkey’s revenue grew +14% to $121.2 million over the same period.
SAP buying Qualtrics is the latest on the list of major mergers & acquisitions this year witnessed in the tech/software space. A few weeks back, IBM announced plans to acquire open-source software maker Red Hat for $34 billion. Earlier this year, Microsoft purchased GitHub for $7.5 billion.
SAP's Stochastic Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 2 days
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SAP advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SAP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 262 cases where SAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SAP moved out of overbought territory on May 01, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 22, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SAP as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SAP turned negative on May 05, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.542) is normal, around the industry mean (31.381). P/E Ratio (86.207) is within average values for comparable stocks, (167.504). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.676) is also within normal values, averaging (4.103). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.548) is also within normal values, averaging (70.843).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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