GET DAILY SIGNALSSAP (SAP, $152.27) preliminary results beat expectations
SAP's preliminary report revealed Q2 results that were higher than analysts’ expectations.
In the preliminary report (that comes ahead of a full Q2 report due on July 27), SAP states that the software company’s Q2 revenue rose +2% annually on a non-IFRS basis to €6.74 billion($7.62 billion). That is above FactSet consensus estimate of €6.69 billion ($7.56 billion)
However, the figure is slower than Q1’s 7% growth.
On the other hand, SAP’s competitor Oracle experienced a -6% drop in revenue during its May quarter, and provided guidance (during its June 16 earnings call) for August quarter revenue growth in the range of -1% to up +1%, with a 1% currency headwind.
[ORCL & SAP] are closely correlated.
Both companies represent the Packaged Software industry
Market capitalization -- SAP: $175.4B vs. ORCL: $173.9B
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: SAP: 56% vs. ORCL: 94%
Long term analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SAP’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while ORCL’s FA Score has 2’s green FA rating(s).
- SAP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- ORCL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators.
SAP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA rating(s) are bullish while ORCL’s TA Score has 6’s bullish TA rating(s).
- SAP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ORCL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 1 bearish.
SAP vs ORCL: Fundamental Ratings:
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ORCL's Valuation (8) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as SAP (10). This means that ORCL’s stock grew similarly to SAP’s over the last 12 months.
SAP's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ORCL (44). This means that SAP’s stock grew similarly to ORCL’s over the last 12 months.
ORCL's SMR Rating (9) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as SAP (32). This means that ORCL’s stock grew similarly to SAP’s over the last 12 months.
SAP's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ORCL (47). This means that SAP’s stock grew similarly to ORCL’s over the last 12 months.
SAP's P/E Growth Rating (40) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ORCL (55). This means that SAP’s stock grew similarly to ORCL’s over the last 12 months.
SAP ($175B) and ORCL ($174B) have the same market capitalization. SAP has higher P/E ratio than ORCL: 11.276 vs 7.932. SAP YTD gains are higher at: 11.276 vs. ORCL (7.932). ORCL has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 17.2B vs. SAP (8.911B). ORCL has more cash in the bank: 37.2B vs. SAP (8.576B). SAP has less debt than ORCL: 19.4B vs 73.7B. ORCL has higher revenues than SAP: 39.1B vs 31.1B.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for SAP turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SAP saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 57 of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SAP just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where SAP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +5.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SAP advanced for three days, in 178 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 141 of 283 cases where SAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 50%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SAP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
SAP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 44 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.112) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.214). P/E Ratio (35.310) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.232). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.610) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.653) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
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General Information
a provider of e-business software solutions
Industry PackagedSoftware
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