Semiconductor Giants Slide: $NVDA, $TSM, $AMD, $ADI, $MU, $AMAT Down 1-3% in a Week
The Semiconductors sector continued its decline last week, falling another 1 to 3% along with the overall market. Our robots have been opening short positions on these stocks. To receive signals from our robots, you can subscribe by clicking on the following link: AI ROBOTS.
The notable firms in this category are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), and Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU).
Market Capitalization The average market capitalization in this sector is around 307.3 billion dollars. Market caps for companies in this sector range from 72.1 billion dollars to 1 trillion dollars. NVDA boasts the highest valuation at 1 trillion dollars, while MU has the lowest valuation at 72.1 billion dollars.
High and Low Price Trends Weekly price movements averaged -3.68% across all stocks in this sector. On a monthly scale, the average price change was -5.31%, and over the quarter, it averaged 13.81%. Among these stocks, MU showed the highest price growth at -1.21%, while TSM saw the largest decline at -5.54%.
Volume Weekly volume growth averaged 12.08% for all stocks in this sector. Over a month, the average volume growth was 9.5%, and quarterly, it averaged 16.76%.
NVDA in Downtrend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 20, 2023 On October 20, 2023, NVDA's 10-day moving average dipped below the 50-day moving average. This crossover signals a bearish trend and might be seen as a selling opportunity. Historically, in 13 out of 16 similar cases, when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued on an upward trajectory in the following month, indicating an 81% chance of a continued downward trend.
Stock Forecast, Price, News, Quote Current price $411.61 is above $265.95, the highest resistance line as identified by AI. Throughout September 28, 2023, to October 30, 2023, NVDA experienced a 4% downtrend. In the week of October 23, 2023, to October 30, 2023, the stock fell 4%.
TSM in Downtrend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on October 30, 2023 TSM's 10-day moving average crossed below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2023, indicating a shift to a bearish trend. This situation can be viewed as a selling signal. In 8 of 11 past occurrences when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move upward over the following month, suggesting a 73% chance of a continued downward trend.
Stock Forecast, Price, News, Quote Current price $86.06 is above $80.29, the highest resistance line as identified by AI. Throughout September 28, 2023, to October 30, 2023, TSM experienced a 0.40% downtrend. In the week of October 23, 2023, to October 30, 2023, the stock fell 6%.
AMD in Uptrend: Price may ascend after breaking the lower Bollinger Band on October 25, 2023 AMD is poised to move upward after breaching its lower Bollinger Band on October 25, 2023. This may indicate a trend reversal to the upside. In 34 out of 36 similar situations where AMD's price fell below the lower Bollinger Band, it continued to rise over the following month, signifying a 90% chance of an ongoing upward trend.
Stock Forecast, Price, News, Quote From September 28, 2023, to October 30, 2023, AMD experienced a 6% downtrend. In the week of October 23, 2023, to October 30, 2023, the stock fell 4%.
ADI's Indicator in Downtrend The Aroon Indicator for ADI shifted into a downward trend on October 30, 2023. When the AroonDown red line remains above 70 while the AroonUp green line is below 30 for three consecutive days, it suggests a forthcoming downward move. In 135 similar cases, 81 of them resulted in a lower stock price, giving a 60% chance of a downward move.
Stock Forecast, Price, News, Quote From September 28, 2023, to October 30, 2023, ADI experienced a 12% downtrend. In the week of October 23, 2023, to October 30, 2023, the stock fell 5%.
MU's RSI Oscillator Recovers from Oversold Territory MU's RSI indicator exited oversold territory on October 27, 2023. This shift suggests a transition from a downtrend to an uptrend. In 24 comparable cases when the indicator left oversold territory, 22 of them witnessed a higher stock price, indicating a 90% chance of an upward move.
Stock Forecast, Price, News, Quote Current price $66.07 is above $53.21, the highest resistance line as identified by AI. From September 28, 2023, to October 30, 2023, MU experienced a 2% uptrend. In the week of October 23, 2023, to October 30, 2023, the stock fell 1%.
AMAT's RSI Indicator Ascends from Oversold Territory AMAT's RSI indicator emerged from oversold territory on October 26, 2023. This may indicate a shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. In 19 similar cases, 18 of them saw an increased stock price, implying a 90% chance of an upward move.
Stock Forecast, Price, News, Quote Current price $131.03 crossed the resistance line at $110.21 and is trading between $155.86 support and $110.21 resistance lines. From September 28, 2023, to October 30, 2023, AMAT experienced a 5% downtrend. In the week of October 23, 2023, to October 30, 2023, the stock fell 2%.
Aroon Indicator for NVDA shows an upward move is likely
NVDA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 28, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 371 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 371 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
NVDA moved above its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 369 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NVDA moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 15 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NVDA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (51.282) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.487). P/E Ratio (56.934) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.779). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.306) is also within normal values, averaging (2.825). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.020). P/S Ratio (31.447) is also within normal values, averaging (43.322).
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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General Information
a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software
Industry Semiconductors