$SHOP, $NTES, $UBER, $ORCL, $CRM, and others experienced more pronounced declines than the market last week.
Stocks of companies in the @Packaged Software industry continued their decline last week, with an average drop of 3-4%. Over the span of two weeks, the decrease amounted to approximately 10%. We recommended selling shares of these companies. Many stocks from this sector are present in this trading bot:Swing-Trader-2-5K-per-position-High-Volatility-Stocks-for-Active-Trading-TA-FA
Notable Companies Some of the most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE: ORCL), Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE), Salesforce (NYSE: CRM), Intuit (NASDAQ: INTU), ServiceNow (NYSE: NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE: UBER), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI), Shopify (NYSE: SHOP), and NetEase (NASDAQ: NTES).
Industry Description The packaged software industry involves bundling multiple software programs together and selling them as a group. For instance, Microsoft Office includes applications like Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. Purchasing a bundled product often proves more cost-effective than buying each component individually. Major American packaged software makers include Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp., and Adobe.
Market Cap The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry stands at $8.1 billion. Market caps for tickers in this group range from $291 million to $2.4 trillion. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at $2.4 trillion, while the lowest valued company is BLGI at $291 million.
6/16/23 7:02 AM: Oracle (ORCL, $126.55) witnessed a $51.5 billion market cap increase this week.
High and Low Price Notable News The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2.16%. Meanwhile, the average monthly price growth was -3.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.29%. DTRK experienced the highest price growth at 74.91%, whereas SHIFF experienced the largest fall at -75%.
8/5/23 7:02 AM: Uber Technologies (UBER, $45.2) was among the top losers this week, with a decline of -6.11%. 8/4/23 7:48 AM: Shopify (SHOP, $59.04) was also a top loser this week, experiencing a decline of -7.69%. A downtrend reversal is anticipated. 7/27/23 5:19 PM: Shopify (SHOP, $64.68) saw a decline of -5.2% this week, and a downtrend reversal is expected.
Volume The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -19.25%. Similarly, the average monthly volume growth was -23.48%, and the average quarterly volume growth was -22.55%.
6/14/23 8:18 AM: Oracle stock's volume increased for a single day, leading to a record-breaking daily growth of 348% compared to the 65-Day Volume Moving Average.
Fundamental Analysis Ratings The average fundamental analysis ratings, on a scale of 1 (best) to 100 (worst), are as follows:
Valuation Rating: 52 P/E Growth Rating: 73 Price Growth Rating: 61 SMR Rating: 83 Profit Risk Rating: 89 Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 to +100)
SHOP: MACD Histogram Crosses Below Signal Line On July 21, 2023, SHOP's Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turned negative, indicating a bearish signal that suggests potential stock decline. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor analyzed 51 instances of such a negative indicator shift, with 42 out of 51 cases resulting in subsequent stock drops. This implies an 82% chance of a downward move.
Current price: $55.27 (above the highest support line of $50.55) During 07/12/23 - 08/11/23, the stock experienced a -16% downtrend. In the week of 08/04/23 - 08/11/23, the stock fell by -5%.
UBER: Shift to Downward Trend with 50-day Moving Average Break On August 11, 2023, UBER moved below its 50-day Moving Average, indicating a shift from an upward to a downward trend. In 33 out of 39 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month, suggesting an 85% chance of a continued downward trend.
During 07/12/23 - 08/11/23, the stock experienced a -2% downtrend. In the week of 08/04/23 - 08/11/23, the stock fell by -3%.
NTES: RSI Oscillator Signals Potential Downward Shift The 10-day RSI Oscillator for NTES moved out of the overbought zone on August 02, 2023, indicating a possible shift from an upward to a downward trend. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor observed 28 instances of the indicator moving out of the overbought zone, with 20 out of 28 cases leading to lower stock prices in the subsequent days, implying a 71% chance of a downward move.
Current price: $103.06 (above the highest support line of $89.12) During 07/12/23 - 08/11/23, the stock experienced a +0.25% uptrend, but the week of 08/04/23 - 08/11/23 showed a -5% downtrend.
ORCL: 10-day Moving Average Crosses Below 50-day Moving Average On August 10, 2023, ORCL's 10-day Moving Average crossed below the 50-day moving average, indicating a lower trend and a potential sell signal. Historically, in 8 out of 15 instances of this crossover, the stock continued to move higher over the following month, giving a 53% chance of a continued downward trend.
Current price: $113.07 (above the highest resistance line of $94.28) During 07/12/23 - 08/11/23, the stock experienced a -3% downtrend. In the week of 08/04/23 - 08/11/23, the stock fell by -1%.
CRM: Price Expected to Rise After Breaking Lower Bollinger Band On August 08, 2023, CRM broke its lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential upward trend. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor found that in 30 out of 36 similar cases, the price rose further in the following month, indicating an 83% chance of a continued upward trend.
During 07/12/23 - 08/11/23, the stock experienced an -8% downtrend. In the week of 08/04/23 - 08/11/23, the stock fell by -3%.
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Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.
SHOP in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026
The 10-day moving average for SHOP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SHOP as a result. In 74 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHOP just turned positive on September 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where SHOP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
SHOP moved above its 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 50-day moving average for SHOP moved above the 200-day moving average on August 31, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +8.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHOP advanced for three days, in 259 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
SHOP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHOP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for SHOP entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHOP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.599) is normal, around the industry mean (51.693). P/E Ratio (97.304) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.734) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.755) is also within normal values, averaging (70.184).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SHOP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
an operator of eCommerce website that allows customers to sell online by providing software to create an online store
Industry PackagedSoftware
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