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Oct 27, 2023

$SHOP Stock Prosperity: +4.52% Boost from Trader Robot

Enter the AI trading robots, accessible through "Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis (TA)" – these bots have proven to be veritable bot factories, generating an impressive +4.52% gain while trading Shopify (SHOP) over the course of the previous week. In this article, we'll delve into the recent earnings results of SHOP and analyze the trend signals that could influence your trading decisions.

Trend Analysis:

SHOP, a well-known e-commerce giant, is currently experiencing a downward trend as the 10-day moving average crossed below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2023. This cross indicates a bearish shift in the trend, potentially signaling a good time to consider selling. However, historical data shows that in 11 out of 13 past instances when the 10-day moving average crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month, indicating a possible upward move. Nevertheless, the odds of a continued downward trend are estimated at 85%.

Earnings Report:

The last earnings report for SHOP, released on August 2, showed earnings per share of 14 cents, surpassing the estimate of 7 cents. With 7.23 million shares outstanding, the current market capitalization stands at an impressive 67.15 billion USD. This solid earnings performance has undoubtedly caught the attention of investors.

Market Capitalization:

To put SHOP's market capitalization into perspective, it's essential to consider the industry average. The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is approximately 8.2 billion USD. However, it's worth noting that market cap values within this industry range significantly, from as low as 291 million USD (as seen in BLGI) to a staggering 2.46 trillion USD, which Microsoft (MSFT) currently holds. These numbers underline the scale and diversity of companies within the industry.

Price Movements:

Understanding price movements is crucial in evaluating a stock's performance. In the Packaged Software Industry, the average weekly price growth across all stocks was -1%, indicating a generally bearish trend over the short term. The average monthly price growth was even more negative at -4%, highlighting a challenging period for the industry. However, it's important to note that outliers exist, with IQAIF experiencing the highest price growth at 119% and VYND taking the biggest hit with a decline of -92%. These significant deviations show that there are opportunities for both gains and losses within the industry.

Volume Analysis:

Trading volume is another key metric to consider. On average, the Packaged Software Industry experienced a 7% increase in weekly trading volume. The monthly and quarterly figures were more optimistic, with an average growth of 32% and 4%, respectively. These numbers suggest that despite the challenging price movements, investors are actively participating in the market.

Summary:

In a volatile market environment, AI trading bots like those accessible through "Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis (TA)" have demonstrated their ability to generate positive gains, as seen in SHOP's recent performance. While SHOP's trend signals may be pointing downward, historical data suggests a possible upward move. Additionally, solid earnings and a substantial market capitalization make SHOP an intriguing choice in the Packaged Software Industry.

However, it's essential to remember that market conditions are constantly evolving, and outliers like IQAIF and VYND serve as a reminder that opportunities and risks are ever-present. Volume analysis further highlights the industry's resilience.

Related Ticker: SHOP

Aroon Indicator for SHOP shows an upward move is likely

SHOP's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 08, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 229 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 229 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SHOP as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHOP just turned positive on October 21, 2025. Looking at past instances where SHOP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHOP advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHOP moved out of overbought territory on October 09, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHOP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SHOP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHOP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (17.422) is normal, around the industry mean (11.335). P/E Ratio (90.356) is within average values for comparable stocks, (128.747). SHOP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (9.639) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.868). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (21.322) is also within normal values, averaging (61.623).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 9.14B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 323.91B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 323.91B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 57%. SPAIF experienced the highest price growth at 48%, while RBLK experienced the biggest fall at -78%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -46% and the average quarterly volume growth was 24%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. SHOP showed earnings on August 06, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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an operator of eCommerce website that allows customers to sell online by providing software to create an online store

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