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published in Blogs
Jul 29, 2020

Shopify (SHOP, $1,071.04) Q2 earnings beats expectations

Shopify (SHOP, $1,071.04) Q2 earnings beats expectations

Shopify Inc.  reported second quarter earnings that beat expectations. 

The e-commerce company’s  earnings for the three months ending in June came in at 29 cents per share per share, surpassing the Street consensus forecast of 1 penny per share. That compares to a loss of 26 cents per share over the same period last year.

Total revenues surged +97% year-over-year to $714.3 million, while gross merchandise volumes more than doubled to $30.1 billion.

Monthly recurring revenues was $57 million as of June 30, a 21% increase year-over-year.

According to Tickeron, SHOP enters an Uptrend as Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 27, 2020

This indicator signals that SHOP's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 61 of 67 cases where SHOP's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Current price $1071.04 is above $764.95 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 06/25/20 - 07/28/20, the price experienced a +7% Uptrend. During the week of 07/21/20 - 07/28/20, the stock enjoyed a +3% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator suggests the ticker price trend may be in a reversal from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. 39 of 44 cases where SHOP's Stochastic Indicator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHOP advanced for three days, in 330 of 380 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 87%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 379 of 428 similar cases where SHOP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 43 of 66 cases where SHOP's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossed below the signal line. In 37 of 51 cases where SHOP's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 73%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 38 of 63 cases where SHOP's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 60%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 72%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.1 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHOP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: SHOP's P/B Ratio (54.98) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6.43). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.87). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (1.63). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (0.09) among similar stocks. SHOP's P/S Ratio (28.19) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.58).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Related Ticker: SHOP

SHOP in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on December 10, 2025

The 10-day moving average for SHOP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 10, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SHOP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SHOP as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHOP just turned positive on November 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where SHOP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SHOP moved above its 50-day moving average on December 09, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHOP advanced for three days, in of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHOP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SHOP entered a downward trend on November 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHOP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (17.094) is normal, around the industry mean (11.923). P/E Ratio (120.728) is within average values for comparable stocks, (111.652). SHOP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (9.639) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.922). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (20.080) is also within normal values, averaging (58.099).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 8.52B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 286.14B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 286.14B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 71%. VIIQ experienced the highest price growth at 400%, while AIUG experienced the biggest fall at -99%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -21% and the average quarterly volume growth was 10%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: E-COMMERCE SECTOR
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. SHOP showed earnings on November 04, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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an operator of eCommerce website that allows customers to sell online by providing software to create an online store

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