Short-term trend channel forms on Hong Kong ETF
The Hong Kong market has been trending higher since the end of October. Over the last few months, a trend channel has formed on the chart of the iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (NYSE: EWH) with a more defined cyclical pattern to it. The lows from early March and late March connect to form the lower rail while the highs from February and April connect to form the upper rail. The ETF has drifted lower from that high earlier in April and the fund is now hitting that lower rail.
We see that the daily stochastic readings reached oversold territory in the last few days and this is the first time they have been oversold since late October. The indicators made a bullish crossover on April 25 which is a possible bullish sign for the EWH.
In addition to the chart, the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on the EWH on April 24. That signal showed a confidence level of 86% and it calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month. Previous predictions on the EWH have been successful 76% of the time.
What is really interesting about the EWH is that it didn’t dip near as much in December as other global indices and ETFs. From October 29 when the EWH hit its low close through December 24, the EWH gained 5.09%. The S&P 500 was down 11.57% during that time period and the Shanghai Composite index was down 2.76%. As a result of not falling as much in December, the EWH has outperformed the S&P and the SSEC over the last six months.
EWH in -1.99% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on November 20, 2025
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where EWH declined for three days, in of 288 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EWH moved out of overbought territory on November 13, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 19, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EWH as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EWH turned negative on November 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
EWH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 58 cases where EWH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
EWH moved above its 50-day moving average on November 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EWH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EWH advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 196 cases where EWH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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