SM Energy (SM, $26.28) was a top loser this quarter, falling -25.3%. Expect a Downtrend continuation
SM Energy (SM) has been experiencing a rough time over the last three months, with its stock price falling by -25.3% to $26.28 per share. This puts SM in the top losers' category for the quarter, which is a cause for concern for investors who hold SM shares. A.I.dvisor analyzed 315 stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry for the same period, and the results showed that 87.5% of them exhibited a downtrend, indicating that SM is not alone in this situation.
Furthermore, A.I.dvisor analyzed 381 cases when SM's price dropped by 15% within three months, and in 195 out of those cases, the stock price went down during the following month. Based on this historical data, the odds of a downtrend continuation for SM are 51%.
However, there is a glimmer of hope for SM investors as the stock's RSI Oscillator moved out of oversold territory on March 20, 2023. This suggests that the stock may be shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend.
To back up this idea, A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the RSI Indicator moved out of oversold territory, and in 30 of those cases, the stock price moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 86%, which is a good sign for traders looking for a potential buying opportunity.
While SM Energy (SM) has experienced a significant decline in stock price over the last three months, there may be hope for investors as the stock's RSI Oscillator moved out of oversold territory. However, investors should remain cautious as historical data indicates that there is a higher likelihood of a downtrend continuation for the stock.
Contributor
Aroon Indicator for SM shows an upward move is likely
SM's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on August 03, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 247 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 247 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 10, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SM as a result. In of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SM just turned positive on August 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where SM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SM moved above its 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SM advanced for three days, in of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.166) is normal, around the industry mean (4.977). P/E Ratio (6.789) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.006). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.703) is also within normal values, averaging (2.766). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.082) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.246) is also within normal values, averaging (5.966).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a developer of natural gas and crude oil properties
Industry OilGasProduction
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