SM Energy (SM, $26.28) was a top loser this quarter, falling -25.3%. Expect a Downtrend continuation
SM Energy (SM) has been experiencing a rough time over the last three months, with its stock price falling by -25.3% to $26.28 per share. This puts SM in the top losers' category for the quarter, which is a cause for concern for investors who hold SM shares. A.I.dvisor analyzed 315 stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry for the same period, and the results showed that 87.5% of them exhibited a downtrend, indicating that SM is not alone in this situation.
Furthermore, A.I.dvisor analyzed 381 cases when SM's price dropped by 15% within three months, and in 195 out of those cases, the stock price went down during the following month. Based on this historical data, the odds of a downtrend continuation for SM are 51%.
However, there is a glimmer of hope for SM investors as the stock's RSI Oscillator moved out of oversold territory on March 20, 2023. This suggests that the stock may be shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend.
To back up this idea, A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the RSI Indicator moved out of oversold territory, and in 30 of those cases, the stock price moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 86%, which is a good sign for traders looking for a potential buying opportunity.
While SM Energy (SM) has experienced a significant decline in stock price over the last three months, there may be hope for investors as the stock's RSI Oscillator moved out of oversold territory. However, investors should remain cautious as historical data indicates that there is a higher likelihood of a downtrend continuation for the stock.
SM in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on May 05, 2025
SM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 35 cases where SM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SM just turned positive on April 21, 2025. Looking at past instances where SM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SM advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 02, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SM as a result. In of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for SM entered a downward trend on April 07, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.619) is normal, around the industry mean (4.436). P/E Ratio (7.373) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.229). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.660) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.552) is also within normal values, averaging (161.907).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a developer of natural gas and crude oil properties
Industry OilGasProduction