The world of AI-driven trading has witnessed remarkable advancements, with Trend Trader's "Popular Stocks (TA&FA)" bots making headlines for their impressive +7.18% gain while trading TTD over the previous week. In this article, we delve into the recent earnings results and market dynamics surrounding TTD, shedding light on the factors influencing its current trajectory.
Market Trends:
TTD, a stock that enjoyed an upward trend, took a significant turn on November 09, 2023, as it moved below its 50-day moving average. Historical data reveals that in 32 of 35 similar instances, such a breach led to a further decrease in stock price within the following month. The statistical odds now point to a 90% likelihood of a sustained downward trend.
Earnings Performance:
The latest earnings report on November 09 showcased a positive performance, with earnings per share coming in at 33 cents, surpassing the estimated 28 cents. With 42.56 million shares outstanding, TTD's current market capitalization stands at 31.38 billion. This robust earnings performance suggests a certain resilience amid challenging market conditions.
Market Capitalization Comparison:
To put TTD's market capitalization into perspective, the average market cap across the Packaged Software Industry is 8.78 billion. Notably, market caps in this industry vary widely, ranging from 291 million to a staggering 2.75 trillion. For reference, Microsoft (MSFT) leads the pack with a valuation of 2.75 trillion, while the lowest-valued company, BLGI, holds a market cap of 291 million.
Price Movements:
Analyzing price movements within the Packaged Software Industry, we observe an average weekly price growth of 2%. However, the monthly and quarterly averages present a different picture, with industry-wide declines of -3% and -5%, respectively. Noteworthy outliers include MDNWF, experiencing a remarkable 1,385% price growth, and VSBGD, facing the most significant fall at -75%.
Volume Analysis:
Turning our attention to trading volumes, the average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry reflects a -9% decrease. On a monthly basis, volume growth stands at 39%, while the quarterly figure is 22%. These metrics provide insights into the varying levels of investor interest and activity within the industry.
Summary:
As we navigate the complexities of the stock market, the case of TTD serves as a valuable example of how AI trading bots can impact stock performance. Despite a recent shift to a downward trend, the positive earnings report suggests resilience, leaving room for ongoing analysis and strategic decision-making.
The 50-day moving average for TTD moved above the 200-day moving average on March 26, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TTD's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 29, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TTD as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TTD just turned positive on April 29, 2024. Looking at past instances where TTD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TTD moved above its 50-day moving average on May 01, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTD advanced for three days, in of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TTD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for TTD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 23, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TTD entered a downward trend on May 01, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TTD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (19.724) is normal, around the industry mean (29.955). P/E Ratio (242.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (155.575). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.449) is also within normal values, averaging (2.725). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (22.422) is also within normal values, averaging (55.459).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of online advertising exchange
Industry PackagedSoftware