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Feb 05, 2021
Snap (SNAP, $63.61) expects a first-quarter EBITDA loss , despite  Q4 earnings beat

Snap (SNAP, $63.61) expects a first-quarter EBITDA loss , despite  Q4 earnings beat

Snap, Inc.   expected a first-quarter EBITDA loss , despite  a better-than-expected financial report for the fourth quarter.

For the fourth quarter, the social media company’s adjusted earnings came in at 9 cents a share – compared to the 7 cents expected by analyst polled by FactSet. Revenue of  $911 million also was higher than the  $852.3 million estimated by analysts.

The company projected adjusted EBITDA -- earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization – in the range of -$70 million to -$50 million in the first quarter. It expects revenue to be between $720 million and $740 million, vs. $462 million in the same period a year ago.

"We delivered our first full year of Adjusted EBITDA profitability," said Evan Spiegel, CEO, in a statement. "As we look towards the future, we’re excited to build on our investments in augmented reality, mapping, and content to drive our ongoing growth."

Related Ticker: SNAP

SNAP in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on June 16, 2026

SNAP moved below its 50-day moving average on June 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 51 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 58 cases where SNAP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for SNAP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SNAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SNAP entered a downward trend on July 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SNAP's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 39 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SNAP as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SNAP just turned positive on July 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where SNAP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SNAP advanced for three days, in of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SNAP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SNAP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.778) is normal, around the industry mean (11.213). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.308). SNAP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (527.094) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (32.214). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.299) is also within normal values, averaging (70.173).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SNAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Snap (NYSE:SNAP), Bilibili (NASDAQ:BILI).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 149.58B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.69K to 4.37T. GOOGL holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.37T. The lowest valued company is STBXF at 2.69K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. SEAT experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while ONFO experienced the biggest fall at -61%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -44% and the average quarterly volume growth was -46%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: APPLICATION SOFTWARE
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a developer of a text and photo based messaging application for mobile phones

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

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Internet Software Or Services
Address
3000 31st Street
Phone
+1 310 399-3339
Employees
5289
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https://www.snap.com
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