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Apr 12, 2024

Soaring Success: Metabolic Industry Stocks($ATXS, $CBAY, $ARDX, $VKTX, $MDGL...) Surge in Last Month

The 'metabolic' category within the biotechnology industry has been witnessing remarkable growth, particularly in companies focused on developing drugs for gastrointestinal and metabolism disorders. This sector plays a pivotal role in addressing metabolic abnormalities such as obesity, which is a significant contributor to severe diseases like cardiovascular conditions. The importance of these drugs cannot be overstated as they are crucial in mitigating and treating metabolic diseases and related symptoms. Leading companies in this niche include PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Inc, Ardelyx Inc., and Catabasis Pharmaceuticals Inc., showcasing the dynamic and innovative nature of this industry segment.

🌐Tickers in Industry   -  $ATXS, $CBAY, $ARDX, $VKTX, $MDGL, $RYTM

Trend Trader, Long Only with Inverse: Valuation & Hurst Model (TA&FA) - Annualized Return + 25%

Market Capitalization Insights

The metabolic sector boasts an average market capitalization of $1.7 billion, demonstrating the substantial economic footprint of these companies. The market cap range for these entities spans from $171 million to a staggering $3.9 billion, with MDGL leading at the higher end and ATXS at the base. This variance highlights the diverse scale and potential for growth within the sector, indicating a robust and competitive market environment.

Price Performance Highlights

In the recent month, the metabolic industry stocks have shown an impressive average monthly price growth of 26.67%, with the quarterly growth reaching an astonishing 85.93%. This trend is underscored by significant movements within the sector, such as Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) achieving the highest price growth at 30.41%, despite MDGL experiencing a downturn of -13.8%. These fluctuations reflect the dynamic nature of the market and the high potential for investment returns within this industry.

Volume Trends

The trading volume for stocks within the metabolic sector has seen remarkable growth, with an average weekly volume increase of 119.57%. This growth in trading activity indicates a rising interest and confidence in the metabolic sector among investors, further underscored by extraordinary spikes in daily volume growth for companies like Astria Therapeutics, which witnessed a record-breaking 531% increase of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average on a single day.

Notable Players and Industry Overview

The metabolic sector is part of the broader biotechnology industry, which is known for its heavy focus on research and development. This industry is at the forefront of producing innovative medicines and therapies for a myriad of health conditions, making biotech firms like Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Moderna, and Incyte Corp notable for their contributions. The industry's reliance on cutting-edge science and the necessity of FDA approval means that companies in this space are continuously pushing the boundaries of medical science, offering substantial growth opportunities.

The metabolic industry's stocks have demonstrated significant gains, underscoring the sector's robust performance and promising outlook. With an average gain of 26.67% over the last month, these companies not only reflect the potential for high returns on investment but also the critical role they play in advancing healthcare solutions for metabolic disorders. As the industry continues to evolve, the metabolic sector remains a compelling area for investors looking for dynamic growth opportunities in the biotechnology landscape.

ATXS : On February 9, 2024, the Aroon Indicator for ATXS flashed a bullish signal, hinting at a potential upward trajectory for the stock. According to Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, the AroonUp (green line) surged above 70, while the AroonDown (red line) dipped below 30, a pattern suggesting strong bullish momentum. Historical analysis of 204 similar instances revealed that the stock price increased in 188 cases, translating to a 90% likelihood of a subsequent rise. This indicator offers a compelling reason for traders to consider purchasing ATXS shares or exploring call options to capitalize on the anticipated move.

CBAY : The Aroon Indicator for CBAY signaled a positive trend on January 30, 2024, suggesting an imminent upward movement. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor highlighted that the AroonUp line exceeded 70, with the AroonDown line falling below 30, indicating a robust bullish momentum. This configuration typically prompts traders to consider acquiring CBAY shares or purchasing call options. Historical data from 195 similar scenarios showed that CBAY's stock price ascended in 164 instances, presenting an 84% probability of a forthcoming rise. Investors are thus encouraged to act on this bullish signal to potentially benefit from the expected increase.

ARDX : On February 9, 2024, ARDX's stock exhibited a bullish signal through its Aroon Indicator, forecasting an upward trend. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified the AroonUp line surpassing 70, with the AroonDown line below 30, a clear indicator of impending bullish momentum. This pattern suggests a strong opportunity for traders to consider purchasing ARDX shares or exploring call options. Analyzing 207 comparable occurrences, the stock showed an increase in 187 cases post-signal, indicating a 90% success rate for such bullish predictions. This analysis strongly supports the potential for ARDX's stock to experience significant growth in the near term.

Related Ticker: ATXS

ATXS in -8.16% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on April 24, 2024

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where ATXS declined for three days, in of 333 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 26, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ATXS as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ATXS turned negative on March 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ATXS moved below its 50-day moving average on April 01, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ATXS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 04, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ATXS entered a downward trend on April 25, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 21 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ATXS advanced for three days, in of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ATXS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ATXS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.344) is normal, around the industry mean (10.126). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (114.647). ATXS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.448). ATXS has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (224.100).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ATXS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (NASDAQ:ADPT), Inovio Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:INO).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 2.55B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 219 to 556.22B. NONOF holds the highest valuation in this group at 556.22B. The lowest valued company is COTQF at 219.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was 8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1,266%. RGTPQ experienced the highest price growth at 244%, while VAXX experienced the biggest fall at -74%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 87
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 94
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of new medicines for the treatment of cardiovascular, metabolic and inflammatory diseases

Industry Biotechnology

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Biotechnology
Address
75 State Street
Phone
+1 617 349-1971
Employees
59
Web
https://www.astriatx.com
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