Go to the list of all blogs
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 29, 2020
Southwest (LUV, $35.26) gets rating boost, price target hike from Goldman Sachs analyst

Southwest (LUV, $35.26) gets rating boost, price target hike from Goldman Sachs analyst

Southwest Airlines got a rating upgrade from a Goldman Sachs analyst.

On Monday, Goldman analyst Catherine O'Brien raised her rating on the air carrier to buy from sell. O'Brien also boosted her share price target to $47 from $35. According to the  analyst,  Southwest shares have been historically  less volatile compared to  the industry.

"We now expect traffic for the carriers in our coverage universe to recover to 2019 levels in 2023 as opposed to 2022," she said. "However, while we are taking the view that demand recovery will be slower than we were previously expecting, we continue to believe that demand for air travel will return to pre-Covid-19 levels and ultimately continue to grow from there."

According to Tickeron, LUV enters a Downtrend because Momentum Indicator dropped below the 0 level on June 26, 2020

This indicator signals that LUV's price has further to drop, since it moved below its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider selling the ticker, shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 43 of 72 cases where LUV's Momentum Indicator fell below the 0 level, its price fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 60%.

Current price $35.26 crossed the support line at $34.13 and is trading between $36.22 resistance and $34.13 support lines. Throughout the month of 05/27/20 - 06/26/20, the price experienced a -5% Downtrend. During the week of 06/19/20 - 06/26/20, the stock fell -7%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 24 of 46 cases where LUV's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 52%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) crossed below the signal line. In 18 of 35 cases where LUV's MACD histogram became negative, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 51%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed above its 50-day Moving Average on June 02, 2020, which can be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 8 of 12 similar cases where LUV's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 170 of 271 similar cases where LUV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 64%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.03 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LUV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LUV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.79) is normal, around the industry mean (1.93). P/E Ratio (9.42) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.79). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (1.63). Dividend Yield (1.30) settles around the average of (0.98) among similar stocks. LUV's P/S Ratio (0.85) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.49).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Related Ticker: LUV

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


LUV in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026

LUV moved below its 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LUV as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LUV turned negative on August 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for LUV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 31, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LUV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for LUV entered a downward trend on August 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LUV advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

LUV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.100) is normal, around the industry mean (4.191). P/E Ratio (28.044) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.881). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.346) is also within normal values, averaging (3.350). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.783) is also within normal values, averaging (0.616).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LUV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LUV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:LUV), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU).

Industry description

Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Airlines Industry is 11.44B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.36K to 1.51T. AZULD holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.51T. The lowest valued company is KLMR at 9.36K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13%. FLYX experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while ALGT experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -57% and the average quarterly volume growth was -22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: -36 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TRAVEL INDUSTRY
View a ticker or compare two or three
LUV
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
Last 5 trading days
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of scheduled air transportation services

Industry Airlines

Profile
Details
Industry
Airlines
Address
P.O. Box 36611
Phone
+1 214 792-4000
Employees
74806
Web
https://www.southwest.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
Uber (UBER) reports Q4 2025 earnings on February 4, 2026, with consensus estimates of $0.78 EPS and $14.32 billion in revenue, up about 20% year over year.
Qualcomm’s Q1 FY2026 report, covering the period ended December 28, 2025, arrives amid a pivotal shift in the semiconductor landscape. While handset growth moderates, the company is expanding in automotive, IoT, and AI-enabled devices.
UBS Group AG reports Q4 2025 earnings on February 4, 2026, with consensus EPS ranging $0.25–$0.67 and revenue around $11.62 billion, down YoY. HSBC Holdings plc reports Q4 earnings on February 25, 2026, with consensus EPS ~$1.57; Q3 showed resilient net interest income despite $1.4B in legal provisions.
Boston Scientific’s Q4 caps a transformative year, driven by ~15.5% organic growth from WATCHMAN, FARAPULSE electrophysiology, and MedSurg expansions. As a leader in minimally invasive devices, BSX’s results set the benchmark against Medtronic and Stryker—diversified medtech giants navigating tariffs, procedural rebounds, and innovation.
Datadog (DDOG) has come under pressure in recent sessions as volatility across the software sector weighs on sentiment ahead of earnings. Trading in the $108–120 range following a pullback from highs near $200, the stock reflects a disconnect between near-term market caution and resilient underlying fundamentals.
Starbucks shares have shown renewed strength in recent trading, rebounding from earlier lows within a 52-week range of $75.50 to $117.46. The recovery reflects improving comparable sales trends and a return to transaction growth, suggesting early progress from operational initiatives aimed at reconnecting with customers.
DoorDash holds a Strong Buy consensus from 33 analysts, with an average 12-month price target of $280.82, implying more than 40% upside from recent trading levels.
Amazon’s Q4 report capped a strong year marked by accelerating cloud growth, steady retail execution, and expanding advertising profitability. The results reinforced Amazon’s positioning as a core beneficiary of enterprise AI demand, particularly through AWS, while highlighting improving operating leverage across the broader business.
ConocoPhillips reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.02, below consensus of $1.08, driven by weaker realized commodity prices.
ICE reported Q4 2025 net revenues of $2.5 billion, up 8% year-over-year, capping 20 consecutive years of record annual revenues at $9.9 billion.
Eli Lilly’s Q4 results highlight explosive growth from GLP-1 therapies, cementing leadership in obesity and diabetes. The company’s strong revenue beat and robust 2026 guidance illustrate high-growth pharma dynamics. Johnson & Johnson, in contrast, exemplifies a diversified healthcare strategy, combining pharmaceuticals, MedTech, and consumer health for steady expansion.
Eli Lilly (LLY), AbbVie (ABBV), and Merck (MRK) all reported strong Q4 2025 earnings, but the market reacted differently to each, reflecting variations in growth profiles, product concentration, and sector dynamics. AbbVie delivered Q4 revenue of $16.62 billion, up 10% year-over-year, with full-year revenue reaching $61.2 billion, an 8.6% increase. Adjusted EPS came in at $2.71, surpassing consensus, though shares dipped following the report amid ongoing Humira concerns
Novo Nordisk (NVO) reported Q4 2025 EPS of $1.02, surpassing estimates of $0.92, with revenue of $12.53B vs $11.99B expected. Full-year 2025 sales rose 10% at constant exchange rates (CER) to DKK 309B, but 2026 guidance anticipates a 5–13% decline at CER due to pricing pressures. Novartis (NVS) posted Q4 core EPS of $2.03, beating $1.99 estimates; net sales of $13.34B slightly missed consensus. FY sales grew 8%, with core EPS up 17% to $8.98.
MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group) posted Q3 FY2026 profits of ¥1.81 trillion, up 3.7% YoY, on track for its full-year target of ¥2.1 trillion. HSBC is set to report Q4 FY2025 earnings on Feb 25, 2026, with consensus EPS around $1.60; recent quarters showed resilient net interest income (NII) supported by Asia wealth growth.
Gogo shares continue to trade near 52-week lows around $4, weighed down by competitive threats from Starlink and slower-than-anticipated AVANCE system upgrades. William Blair downgraded the stock to Market Perform in December 2025, citing leverage concerns and intensifying rivalry in in-flight connectivity.
Quantum Computing Inc. completed a $110 million acquisition of Luminar Semiconductor on February 2, significantly strengthening its photonics and manufacturing capabilities. Shares have traded with elevated volatility, peaking near $12.70 in mid-January before retreating to the $9 range amid heavy volume.
ERII shares have remained resilient, trading near $15.47 ahead of Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings scheduled for February 25, 2026. Q3 2025 results exceeded expectations, with revenue of $32 million and EPS of $0.07, despite year-over-year declines tied to project timing.
Golar LNG (GLNG) has remained resilient in recent trading, hovering near the top of its 52-week range as investor interest in floating LNG infrastructure continues to build. The stock is underpinned by a deep FLNG order backlog, steady production from operating assets, and improving financial flexibility.
Liberty Broadband Corporation (LBRDA) has experienced pronounced swings in recent weeks, touching multiyear lows before staging a sharp recovery. The stock continues to trade within a wide 52-week range, closely tied to the value of its Charter Communications stake and investor expectations around the proposed merger.
Apollo Global Management (APO), a leading alternative asset manager, reports Q4 and full-year 2025 results on February 9, 2026, before the market opens. The firm has delivered a year of strong growth, with AUM expanding on record inflows exceeding $200 billion and origination surpassing $300 billion.