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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 28, 2019

Square's (SQ, $79.32) Q4 earnings exceed expectations, but Q1 guidance falls short of analysts' estimates

Square beat fourth quarter earnings estimates, but lagged behind analysts' expectations on first quarter guidance.

 The merchant services aggregator & mobile payments company, co-founded by Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey, reported adjusted earnings of 14 cents per share for the fourth quarter, which exceeded analysts’ expectations of 13 cents a share (based on Refinitiv data). The earnings-per-share were also higher compared to the year-ago quarter, by 6 cents.

Adjusted revenue for the quarter surged +64% year-over-year to $464 million, compared to analysts’ estimates of $454 million (based on Refinitiv data). Sales from subscriptions and services in the quarter was $194 million, a +144% jump from a year earlier. Another major win for the company came in the form of its peer-to-peer Cash App’s monthly active customer count doubling from a year earlier to reach more than 15 million in December 2018.

However, the company’s outlook on the upcoming first quarter earnings fell short of analysts’ expectations. Square predicts earnings to range between 6 to 8 cents per share,  while analysts’ expected 11 cents a share.

On the other hand, the company’s adjusted revenue guidance for the first-quarter is between $472 to $482 million – not too far off of analysts' estimates of $474 million.

Square shares dropped -3.9% Thursday morning.

Related Ticker: XYZ

XYZ in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 07, 2025

XYZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 42 cases where XYZ's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XYZ's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 67 cases where XYZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XYZ advanced for three days, in of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XYZ as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XYZ turned negative on October 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

XYZ moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XYZ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XYZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for XYZ entered a downward trend on November 25, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.719) is normal, around the industry mean (14.930). P/E Ratio (12.815) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.901). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.271) is also within normal values, averaging (1.616). XYZ has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (1.670) is also within normal values, averaging (67.758).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. XYZ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XYZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB), CyberArk Software Ltd (NASDAQ:CYBR), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 25.3B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 3.55T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.55T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -13%, and the average quarterly price growth was 24%. CETXP experienced the highest price growth at 76%, while SUPX experienced the biggest fall at -52%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -30% and the average quarterly volume growth was -10%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: 22 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TECHNOLOGY ETFs
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. XYZ showed earnings on November 06, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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a provider of credit card reader solutions for mobile devices

Industry ComputerCommunications

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