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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 12, 2019

Stitch Fix (SFIX, $26.98) soars +20%, on fiscal Q2 earnings beat and strong Q3 guidance

Stitch Fix soared in after-hours trading Monday, on strong fiscal second quarter performance.

The online subscription fashion & styling service company reported earnings of 12 cents per share for the quarter, surpassing Wall Street estimates of 5 cents a share.

The company's quarterly revenue came in at $370 million, beating Street expectation of $365 million. (Analysts estimates are based on Refinitiv data). Net revenue was +25% higher from the year-ago quarter. Stitch Fix founder and CEO Katrina Lake emphasized that the firm delivered growth of over +20% for the six consecutive quarters since the company went public.

The number of active clients of Stitch Fix grew +18% year-over-year to 2.96 million, edging past estimates of 2.95 million.

Looking ahead, Stitch Fix expects its third-quarter revenue to range between $388 million and $398 million, higher than the $384 million forecast by Refinitiv. For 2019, the company projects revenues between $1.53 billion and $1.56 billion, exceeding analysts’ estimates of $1.51 billion.

Stitch Fix shares jumped as much as +20% during extended trading on Monday.

 

Related Ticker: SFIX

SFIX's RSI Oscillator slumps into oversold zone

The RSI Indicator for SFIX moved into overbought territory on March 12, 2025. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 11 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFIX advanced for three days, in of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SFIX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 214 cases where SFIX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 25, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SFIX as a result. In of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SFIX turned negative on February 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

SFIX moved below its 50-day moving average on February 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SFIX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 06, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFIX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SFIX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.490) is normal, around the industry mean (3.964). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.742). SFIX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.444). SFIX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.028). P/S Ratio (0.208) is also within normal values, averaging (1.139).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 13.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 119.4B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 119.4B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -14%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14%. RROTF experienced the highest price growth at 48%, while GCO experienced the biggest fall at -35%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 66% and the average quarterly volume growth was 59%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 68
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of subscription-based personal shopping and delivery services for women's clothing

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1 Montgomery Street
Phone
+1 415 882-7765
Employees
5860
Web
https://www.stitchfix.com
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