Swing Trade NVAX: Medium Volatility Stock with 11.88% Returns
Swing Trader: Medium Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA) Generates 11.88% for NVAX
The stock market offers a myriad of investment opportunities, but few are as exciting or potentially rewarding as active trading. As a case in point, Novavax Inc. (NVAX), a biotechnology company, has recently demonstrated an impressive return of 11.88% within the active trading segment, capitalizing on medium volatility.
On June 30, 2023, an intriguing development transpired in NVAX's technical analysis - the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram crossed above the signal line. The MACD is a momentum oscillator that can be instrumental in identifying potential buy and sell signals. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it is generally perceived as a bullish signal that suggests the potential for further stock price appreciation.
To understand the significance of this event, it is essential to analyze historical instances where NVAX's MACD line crossed the signal line. In 42 out of 43 instances, NVAX shares have continued to rise in the month following the positive MACD cross. This remarkably consistent pattern suggests a 90% probability of the stock's upward trend continuing.
By capitalizing on the medium volatility of NVAX's stock, Swing Trader, an active trading strategy focusing on Technical Analysis & Fundamental Analysis (TA&FA), has generated a commendable 11.88% return. This return is noteworthy and indicates that an active trading strategy combined with reliable technical indicators like the MACD can yield profitable outcomes.
NVAX is a potent example of how medium-volatility stocks can offer lucrative opportunities for active traders. With the MACD histogram crossing above the signal line and a historical pattern pointing to an upward trajectory, NVAX has presented an attractive trading opportunity with a demonstrated return of 11.88%. The Swing Trader strategy, focusing on TA&FA, has taken advantage of this medium-volatility stock to generate impressive gains, signifying the potential advantages of active trading strategies.
Momentum Indicator for NVAX turns positive, indicating new upward trend
NVAX saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 02, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NVAX just turned positive on July 03, 2025. Looking at past instances where NVAX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NVAX moved above its 50-day moving average on July 08, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVAX advanced for three days, in of 261 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for NVAX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 25, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVAX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NVAX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for NVAX entered a downward trend on June 26, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NVAX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (17.292). P/E Ratio (2.487) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.926). NVAX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.456). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.910) is also within normal values, averaging (271.367).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NVAX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a company which engages in development of novel recombinant vaccines
Industry Biotechnology
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