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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 21, 2023

Swing Trading: $SOFI's Deep TA for 24.95% Returns - Positive MACD Alert

Swing Trader: Deep Trend Analysis (TA) Generates 24.95% for SOFI

In the realm of finance, there are many technical indicators that traders utilize to predict future market directions. One of these vital tools is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), a trend-following momentum indicator that reveals the connection between two moving averages of a security's price. For SOFI, a crucial turning point has been noted, providing an optimistic outlook for the upcoming period.

On July 18, 2023, the MACD Histogram for SOFI flickered into positive territory. This turn of events is particularly noteworthy due to its historical significance. A study of previous occurrences when SOFI's MACD entered the positive zone reveals a compelling pattern: in 25 out of 28 instances, the stock continued to appreciate over the subsequent month. This statistic implies an 89% chance of a continued bullish trend, a noteworthy signal for investors and traders alike.

It's no secret that the world of trading is filled with volatility and uncertainty. However, when technical indicators like the MACD point towards a clear trend, it becomes a potent tool for traders. In this case, the bullish signal offered by SOFI's positive MACD has the potential to yield significant returns, as showcased by the notable 24.95% gain generated by the Swing Trader's deep trend analysis.

In essence, the turning of SOFI's MACD histogram to positive is not just a numerical change. It represents a powerful momentum shift in the underlying asset, an early whisper of potential gains to come. Historical evidence supports this optimism, indicating a high probability of an upward trajectory continuation.

The ability to decipher such indicators, and to do so accurately, is the cornerstone of successful trading. The MACD's recent shift for SOFI underscores the significance of technical analysis in understanding and predicting market movements, providing an edge to those willing to delve deep into the art of trading.

In the world of finance, the most consistent profits are often the result of recognizing patterns and utilizing them to anticipate future movements. The Swing Trader's analysis of SOFI is a prime example of this, demonstrating the potential rewards of paying close attention to technical indicators like the MACD.

Related Ticker: SOFI

SOFI in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 14, 2025

SOFI moved below its 50-day moving average on November 14, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 37 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 13, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SOFI as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SOFI turned negative on November 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SOFI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SOFI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOFI advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 227 cases where SOFI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SOFI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.421) is normal, around the industry mean (12.221). P/E Ratio (44.482) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.590). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.903) is also within normal values, averaging (1.338). SOFI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (9.058) is also within normal values, averaging (128.661).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SOFI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VISA (NYSE:V), Mastercard (NYSE:MA), American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF), PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF), SLM Corp (NASDAQ:SLM), Bread Financial Holdings (NYSE:BFH), Qudian (NYSE:QD), LexinFintech Holdings Ltd (NASDAQ:LX).

Industry description

A savings bank primary function is to take deposits and paying interest on those deposits. Originating in Europe during the 18th century, these banks were generally introduced to incentivize people of all stripes to save money and park them with banks. By the 1990s, the internet ushered in online savings banks that allowed savers to deposit/transact with banks digitally, without requiring to visit a branch office. Savings banks have potentially encouraged lower-income population to save and have access to a financial institution to earn interest on their money. New York Community Bancorp, Inc, Webster Financial Corporation, Washington Federal, Inc. are examples of savings banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Savings Banks Industry is 20.39B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.55M to 624.84B. V holds the highest valuation in this group at 624.84B. The lowest valued company is DXF at 3.55M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Savings Banks Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. ZNKKY experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while LMFA experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Savings Banks Industry was -9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 13% and the average quarterly volume growth was 43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 56
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. SOFI showed earnings on October 28, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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Industry SavingsBanks

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