Gaming software company Take-Two Interactive Software (Nasdaq: TTWO) has been trending lower over the last six months and it hasn’t bounced back as much as other stocks. There are two hurdles the stock faces at this point—the upper rail of a downward sloped channel and the 50-day moving average. The two layers of resistance are in close proximity to one another with both in the $97-$98 area.
For the sake of comparison, the S&P 500 crossed back above its 50-day moving average in mid-January as did the Nasdaq.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bearish signal on Take-Two on March 15. The prediction calls for a decline of 4% decline in the next month and it showed a confidence level of 59%. Past predictions on Take-Two have been successful 76% of the time.
Take-Two’s fundamentals are somewhat of a conundrum. In the most recent quarter the company’s earnings fell by 50% while sales jumped by 160%. Over the last three years the earnings have grown at a rate of 34% while sales have grown at a rate of 16%.
The company’s management efficiency measurements are really good with a return on equity of 32.6% and a profit margin of 28.2%.
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TTWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 31 of 36 cases where TTWO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TTWO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TTWO just turned positive on September 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where TTWO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +2.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTWO advanced for three days, in 228 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTWO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator for TTWO entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TTWO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TTWO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.482) is normal, around the industry mean (10.477). TTWO has a moderately high P/E Ratio (61.728) as compared to the industry average of (25.481). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.772) is also within normal values, averaging (2.125). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. TTWO's P/S Ratio (5.869) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.575).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a developer of interactive entertainment software
Industry ElectronicsAppliances