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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 26, 2019

Take-Two Interactive Software having trouble moving back above its 50-day

Gaming software company Take-Two Interactive Software (Nasdaq: TTWO) has been trending lower over the last six months and it hasn’t bounced back as much as other stocks. There are two hurdles the stock faces at this point—the upper rail of a downward sloped channel and the 50-day moving average. The two layers of resistance are in close proximity to one another with both in the $97-$98 area.

For the sake of comparison, the S&P 500 crossed back above its 50-day moving average in mid-January as did the Nasdaq.

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bearish signal on Take-Two on March 15. The prediction calls for a decline of 4% decline in the next month and it showed a confidence level of 59%. Past predictions on Take-Two have been successful 76% of the time.

Take-Two’s fundamentals are somewhat of a conundrum. In the most recent quarter the company’s earnings fell by 50% while sales jumped by 160%. Over the last three years the earnings have grown at a rate of 34% while sales have grown at a rate of 16%.

The company’s management efficiency measurements are really good with a return on equity of 32.6% and a profit margin of 28.2%.

Related Ticker: TTWO

Momentum Indicator for TTWO turns positive, indicating new upward trend

TTWO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 07, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TTWO just turned positive on February 07, 2025. Looking at past instances where TTWO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TTWO moved above its 50-day moving average on February 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TTWO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 29, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTWO advanced for three days, in of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 282 cases where TTWO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TTWO moved out of overbought territory on February 14, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTWO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TTWO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TTWO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.007) is normal, around the industry mean (30.991). P/E Ratio (61.728) is within average values for comparable stocks, (161.030). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.500) is also within normal values, averaging (2.763). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.086) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.708) is also within normal values, averaging (58.299).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 11.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 33%. GBUX experienced the highest price growth at 178%, while ATDS experienced the biggest fall at -78%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 40% and the average quarterly volume growth was 128%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 71
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: -41 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of interactive entertainment software

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Recreational Products
Address
110 West 44th Street
Phone
+1 646 536-2842
Employees
11580
Web
https://www.take2games.com
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