Gaming software company Take-Two Interactive Software (Nasdaq: TTWO) has been trending lower over the last six months and it hasn’t bounced back as much as other stocks. There are two hurdles the stock faces at this point—the upper rail of a downward sloped channel and the 50-day moving average. The two layers of resistance are in close proximity to one another with both in the $97-$98 area.
For the sake of comparison, the S&P 500 crossed back above its 50-day moving average in mid-January as did the Nasdaq.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bearish signal on Take-Two on March 15. The prediction calls for a decline of 4% decline in the next month and it showed a confidence level of 59%. Past predictions on Take-Two have been successful 76% of the time.
Take-Two’s fundamentals are somewhat of a conundrum. In the most recent quarter the company’s earnings fell by 50% while sales jumped by 160%. Over the last three years the earnings have grown at a rate of 34% while sales have grown at a rate of 16%.
The company’s management efficiency measurements are really good with a return on equity of 32.6% and a profit margin of 28.2%.
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TTWO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 28, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 62%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TTWO as a result. In 45 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The 50-day moving average for TTWO moved below the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTWO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator for TTWO entered a downward trend on October 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TTWO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +4.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTWO advanced for three days, in 224 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
TTWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TTWO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TTWO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.954) is normal, around the industry mean (10.937). TTWO's P/E Ratio (-111.040) is considerably lower than the industry average of (-3.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.772) is also within normal values, averaging (2.125). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (2.199) among similar stocks. TTWO's P/S Ratio (5.869) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.575).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a developer of interactive entertainment software
Industry ElectronicsAppliances