Target (TGT, $102.15) beats Q2 earnings & sales expectations; raises full-year guidance
Target reported second-quarter earnings and sales - both of which surpassed analysts’ expectations.
The retail giant’s earnings per share for the quarter came in at $1.82 (from the year-ago quarter’s $1.47), beating the $1.62 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue of $18.42 billion, too, exceeded analysts’ estimates of $18.34 billion.
Same-store sales grew +3.4%, compared to 2.9% growth expected by analysts.
Looking ahead, Target boosted its outlook on full-year earnings. It now expects to earn between $5.90 and $6.20 a share, compared to its previous forecast of per-share earnings of between $5.75 and $6.05. Analysts polled by FactSet were expecting full-year per-share earnings of $5.94 a share on sales of $78 billion.
While its physical stores showed a strong performance, Target (along with several traditional retailers) are apparently working on making shopping more convenient and attractive to consumers. They are heavily investing in their digital presence and trying to speed up shipping times.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
TGT sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
TGT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 31, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 52 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TGT moved out of overbought territory on August 25, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 73%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TGT as a result. In 61 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TGT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TGT advanced for three days, in 200 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
TGT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 152 of 220 cases where TGT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TGT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.931) is normal, around the industry mean (6.950). P/E Ratio (16.017) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.930). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.975) is also within normal values, averaging (2.643). TGT has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.030) as compared to the industry average of (0.014). P/S Ratio (0.653) is also within normal values, averaging (1.014).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TGT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a department and discount store
Industry DiscountStores
Advertisement