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published in Blogs
Jul 25, 2018
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Tariffs Cut Short GM’s Profit Forecast

Tariffs Cut Short GM’s Profit Forecast

Tariffs on imported metals force General Motors to go slow on its profit projections.

The U.S. automaker has scaled back its forecast of this year’s earnings to about $6 a share, from a previous projection of  $6.50.

The company's stellar earnings potential for 2018 (on the back of its solid equity earnings from its China business and record pretax profit from GM Financial) is apparently getting muted by U.S. tariffs slapped in June on steel and aluminum imports. The company faces $1 billion in raw material costs – almost twice its previous expectation. Volatility in the Argentine peso and Brazilian real pose additional headwinds to the firm’s business.

Related Ticker: TM

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


TM in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

The 10-day moving average for TM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TM as a result. In 55 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TM just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where TM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

TM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +13.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TM advanced for three days, in 165 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 89 of 194 cases where TM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 46%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.

TM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.007) is normal, around the industry mean (1.980). P/E Ratio (0.062) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.300). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.556) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.037) settles around the average of (0.149) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.733) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 73.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 669 to 1.41T. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.41T. The lowest valued company is PEVM at 669.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31%. FLYE experienced the highest price growth at 45%, while CENN experienced the biggest fall at -59%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 3% and the average quarterly volume growth was -52%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 68
SMR Rating: 87
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -3 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of motor vehicles and parts

Industry MotorVehicles

Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
1 Toyota-cho
Phone
+81 565282121
Employees
390927
Web
https://www.global.toyota
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