Tesla recovered one of its key metrics after a disappointing first quarter, as more Model 3s were registered during the spring than in Q1. Following this, Tesla increased its estimate for Model 3 deliveries for 2019. Its shares are trading close to $200, well below the company’s $300-plus share price at the beginning of 2019.
The month of May witnessed Tesla ahead of other electric auto making competitors. But again, the stock is down more than 40% this year. Elon Musk reasoned that Tesla is not exactly a growth story but a restructuring story. It increased total U.S. sales in May by 73% compared to last year. Meanwhile, sales climbed 39% for competing electric vehicles from Audi, BMW, Jaguar, Chevrolet (GM) and Nissan. Also, Tesla’s estimated total U.S. sales of 11,300 vehicles in May was 2.6 times the combined total of its competitors’ EV offerings - up from 2.1 times last year.
Morgan Stanley (MS) forecasts Tesla will deliver between a range of 360,000 and 400,000 vehicles this year, an increase of approximately 45% to 65% compared to 2018. On the other hand, JPM decreased its estimate for Tesla’s 2019 deliveries very slightly to 378,900 units from 379,600 over steadily increasing volume in the lower priced Model as well as declines in the higher end Model S and Model X vehicles.
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where TSLA declined for three days, in of 268 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 10, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TSLA entered a downward trend on April 26, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSLA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on April 25, 2024. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.905) is normal, around the industry mean (6.005). P/E Ratio (40.726) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.064). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.067) is also within normal values, averaging (5.553). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (6.305) is also within normal values, averaging (74.209).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles