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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 27, 2023

The Swing Trader ($6K per position): Volatility Balanced Strategy v.2 (TA) Robot outperformed the S&P Index by more than 5% in April.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have had a challenging April, with both indices expected to close the month in the negative territory. The S&P 500 has declined 1.3% since the start of the month, making it the second negative month in the last three months. The Nasdaq Composite has been hit harder, losing 3% in April, making it its worst month so far in 2023. The Dow has had a lackluster performance, up by only 0.08% this month. On a positive note, the Swing Trader ($6K per position): Volatility Balanced Strategy v.2 (TA) Robot has outperformed the S&P Index by over 5% this month.

This robot is designed for traders who prefer a balanced trading strategy, opening no more than 20-30 trades at a time with an average trade duration of 1 day.

The robot's risk management strategy is based on a trading balance of $100,000 and a position size of $6,000 per trade, but traders can adjust their trading balance as needed, with the position size changing proportionally. For example, if the trading balance is lowered to $50,000, the position size will be automatically adjusted to $3,000.

To select tradable stocks, the robot considers high and medium volatility stocks, allowing traders to adjust the algorithm based on market activity.

Here's how the robot operates:

Step 1: The algorithm evaluates the short- and medium-term trend for each selected stock.

Step 2: Using a proprietary set of technical indicators, the robot looks for a signal to open a trade.

Step 3: Depending on the volatility and direction of both types of trends, a separate algorithm determines the position size to be opened.

Once a trade is entered, the robot places a "Take profit" order with the distance depending on the current market volatility. To exit a position, the robot uses a fixed stop loss of 3% of the opening price and a flexible trailing stop to maximize profits if the market reverses.

The robot's trading results are shown without using margin. For a more detailed analysis of the robot's performance, traders can click the "Show more" button on the robot page to view trading statistics and equity charts. In the "Open Trades" tab, users can observe the robot's paper trades in real-time, while the "Closed trades" tab provides a review of all previous trades executed by the robot.

It's also worth highlighting the stocks of Shopify (SHOP), which this robot has traded and earned almost 5% just this week.

Related Ticker: SHOP

SHOP in +5.38% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on March 25, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SHOP advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SHOP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHOP just turned positive on March 20, 2025. Looking at past instances where SHOP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 57 cases where SHOP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 31, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SHOP as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SHOP moved below its 50-day moving average on March 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SHOP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHOP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SHOP entered a downward trend on March 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHOP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SHOP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.099) is normal, around the industry mean (30.873). P/E Ratio (781.900) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.445). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.291) is also within normal values, averaging (2.727). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (14.347) is also within normal values, averaging (59.201).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.15B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. ICCT experienced the highest price growth at 415%, while LGMK experienced the biggest fall at -82%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 30%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 25% and the average quarterly volume growth was 135%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -11 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an operator of eCommerce website that allows customers to sell online by providing software to create an online store

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Information Technology Services
Address
151 O'Connor Street
Phone
+1 613 241-2828
Employees
8300
Web
https://www.shopify.com
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